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406,065

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2,692

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5

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LoL: Estral Esports vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs
predict
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Estral Esports vs KaBuM!?

Volume:
$334,108

Match Winner

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 15, 2026

Closed: Sep 14, 7:43 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
13%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$77,708
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Match Winner

View
99%
13%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
N/A
$1,472
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Game 2 Winner

View
100%
22%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$67,776
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Game 2 Winner

View
99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$6,886
$5,630
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Game 1 Winner

View
100%
22%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$52,027
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Game 1 Winner

View
99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
N/A
$1,847
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Game Handicap: EST (-2.5) vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (+2.5)

View
100%
12%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$30,043
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Game Handicap: EST (-2.5) vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (+2.5)

View
66%
Yes 66.4¢No 34¢
—
$26,348
$556
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Game 3 Winner

View
100%
23%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$29,130
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Game 3 Winner

View
99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$3,214
$3,479
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Estral Esports

View
100%
14%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$19,867
N/A
N/A
$16,045
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game Handicap: EST (-1.5) vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (+1.5)

View
100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$11,007
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Game Handicap: EST (-1.5) vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (+1.5)

View
73%
Yes 73¢No 27¢
—
$26,348
$171
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
50%
7%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
—
N/A
$2,597
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Game 4 Winner

View
50%
17%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
1¢
N/A
$787
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Game 4 Winner

View
N/A
N/A
2¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas

View
0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$27,085
N/A
N/A
$21,746
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 3.5 Games

View
0%
55%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,163
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 3.5 Games

View
N/A
N/A
—
$70,611
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 4.5 Games

View
0%
44%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$758
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 4.5 Games

View
N/A
N/A
—
$70,611
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor

View
0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Slay a Dragon

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.4¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Any Player Quadra Kill

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 50

Intro

This market tracks the likelihood of an odd or even total number of kills in Game 4 of the best-of-five League of Legends match between Estral Esports and KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas during the Circuito Desafiante Playoffs. Currently, the consensus probability across Predict, Polymarket, and Kalshi indicates a 71.0% chance of an odd/even total kills. Resolution will be based on official results from https://gol.gg/esports/home. Keep an eye on the start of Game 4 on September 15, 2026, as the outcome of that game will determine market resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket offers granular game-specific markets while Kalshi focuses on the overall match winner, creating a divergence in market scope and potential resolution complexity.Hero tip: For simpler trading, focus on the overall match winner market on Kalshi. Be aware of the increased complexity and potential for discrepancies in the game-specific markets on Polymarket.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Offers markets for overall match winner, individual game winners, and in-game events. Resolves based on https://gol.gg/esports/home with a consensus fallback. Includes detailed rules for postponements, cancellations, and incomplete games.
  • Kalshi: Focuses solely on the overall match winner. Resolves based on https://gol.gg/esports/home. Provides a simpler resolution path but lacks granularity.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the LoL Grand final match between Estral Esports and KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas in the Circuito Desafiante Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Estral Esports" if Estral Esports win the match against KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas. This market will resolve to "KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas" if KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas win the match against Estral Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 14, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes for the specified team if they win the designated League of Legends match. If the match is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, the market resolves to the fair market price. If the match starts and is later forfeited, resolution follows the official result from the governing body.

Predict

This market refers to the LoL Grand final match between Estral Esports and KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas in the Circuito Desafiante Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Estral Esports" if Estral Esports win the match against KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas. This market will resolve to "KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas" if KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas win the match against Estral Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 14, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Predict, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes in the LoL Circuito Desafiante Playoffs match between Estral Esports and KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $334,108, with $327,431 traded in the last 24 hours. The consensus view, while differing between venues, provides a comprehensive look at where the crowd believes the most likely results lie. This allows for a broad understanding of market sentiment surrounding this BO5 series, combining insights from multiple prediction venues.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on models and internal analysis, while this market is driven by individuals wagering their own capital. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert opinion. Generally, prediction markets tend to be more accurate than sportsbook odds, especially closer to the event, as more information becomes available and is incorporated into the price. However, sportsbooks may offer more competitive pricing on certain outcomes.