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406,019

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PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season
kalshi
polymarket

Who will win Eintracht Spandau vs ROSSMANN Centaurs?

Volume:
$140,411

ROSSMANN Centaurs

 - Kalshi

ROSSMANN Centaurs - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 1, 2026

Closed: Jul 1, 1:51 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

ROSSMANN Centaurs

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$17,588
N/A
N/A
$13,956
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$106,095
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Eintracht Spandau

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,727
N/A
N/A
$10,705
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Slay a Dragon

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Quadra Kill

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Penta Kill

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 9

Description

This event group covers a League of Legends Best-of-1 match between Eintracht Spandau and ROSSMANN Centaurs in the Prime League 1st Division Regular Season, scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT. Markets span match winner determination and in-game statistical outcomes (kills, objectives, multikills) for Game 1.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi presents a logically impossible binary market (both teams winning the same match both resolve to Yes), while Polymarket offers six distinct markets with mutually exclusive outcomes. The markets are fundamentally incompatible in structure and logic.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi's market as written—it contains an unresolvable logical contradiction. For Polymarket, the match winner market (Question 6) is the canonical binary outcome; the five statistical markets are independent props. Always cross-reference official gol.gg results within 2 hours of match conclusion. If match is delayed beyond 7 days or cancelled, all Polymarket markets default to 50-50.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Defines a single binary Yes/No market on match outcome, but resolution logic is contradictory: states both 'If Eintracht Spandau wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If ROSSMANN Centaurs wins... resolves to Yes.' Since only one team can win, the market cannot be resolved consistently. No fallback for cancellation or delay is specified.
  • Polymarket: Defines six independent markets: (1) Match Winner (Spandau vs Centaurs, mutually exclusive), (2) Penta Kill (Yes/No), (3) Baron Nashor (Yes/No), (4) Odd/Even Total Kills, (5) Dragon (Yes/No), (6) Inhibitor (Yes/No), (7) Quadra Kill (Yes/No). All include consistent 50-50 fallback for cancellation, delay >7 days, forfeit, or no-play scenarios. Resolution source is gol.gg with 2-hour publication window; consensus reporting and video evidence acceptable as backup.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the LoL match between Eintracht Spandau and ROSSMANN Centaurs in the Prime League 1st Division Regular Season, initially scheduled for July 1 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Eintracht Spandau" if Eintracht Spandau win the match against ROSSMANN Centaurs. This market will resolve to "ROSSMANN Centaurs" if ROSSMANN Centaurs win the match against Eintracht Spandau. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the outcome of the League of Legends match between ROSSMANN Centaurs and Eintracht Spandau in the Prime League 1st Division 2026, scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT. The market resolves to Yes for whichever team wins the match.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price the same event differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. For esports matchups like this one, sportsbooks may incorporate sharper professional input, yet prediction markets often react faster to breaking news or community sentiment shifts. Neither is inherently more accurate; comparing both sources helps identify where smart money is positioning relative to public perception.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, all of which influence how prices settle. Kalshi and Polymarket may frame related outcomes differently—one focusing on match winner, the other on in-game events like dragon slays—creating apparent price gaps even when both are logically consistent. Regulatory constraints, settlement speed, and user interface design also shape order flow, meaning the same underlying event can trade at distinct levels across venues until arbitrage pressure narrows the spread.

Team roster changes, player substitutions, or last-minute lineup announcements can shift odds significantly in the hours before kickoff. In-game momentum, early kills, objective control, and draft phase decisions all influence live trader sentiment and may trigger sharp repricing. Injury reports, coaching statements, or recent performance trends in the Prime League can also act as catalysts. Major esports news—such as roster moves or meta shifts in the broader competitive scene—may ripple into this specific matchup's pricing as traders reassess team strength and win probability.