TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
LoL: Ei Nerd Esports vs Estral Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season
Volume:
$135,807
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a League of Legends Best-of-One match between Ei Nerd Esports and Estral Esports in the Circuito Desafiante Regular Season, scheduled for April 22, 2026 at 7:00 PM EDT. The group includes six markets: the match winner outcome, and five in-game metrics for Game 1 (inhibitor destruction, quadra kills, Baron slays, dragon slays, and total kill parity).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market resolves YES for ANY match outcome (both teams winning), creating a logical contradiction. Polymarket markets are game-specific (Game 1 objectives) while Kalshi covers the entire match result, making them fundamentally incompatible event definitions.Hero Tip:
Avoid betting on Kalshi's match outcome market — it is logically unresolvable as written (resolves YES regardless of winner). Focus on Polymarket's Game 1-specific markets (inhibitors, kills, dragons, quadra/penta kills, odd/even kills) which have clear, testable conditions. The main match winner market on Polymarket is resolvable; Kalshi's is not.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Market states: 'If Estral Esports wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Ei Nerd Esports wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility where the market resolves YES for both possible outcomes, making it unresolvable. The platform provides no NO resolution condition.
- Polymarket: Provides six distinct markets: (1) main match winner (Ei Nerd vs Estral), resolves to named team or 50-50 on cancel/delay/forfeit; (2-6) Game 1 specific objectives (inhibitors, quadra kill, baron, dragon, penta kill, odd/even kills). Each has clear YES/NO conditions tied to observable in-game events. Resolution source: gol.gg with 2-hour fallback to credible reporting.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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