TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 7, 3:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the LoL match between E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS and Team Orange Gaming in the Prime League 1st Division Regular Season, initially scheduled for July 7 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS" if E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS win the match against Team Orange Gaming. This market will resolve to "Team Orange Gaming" if Team Orange Gaming win the match against E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market refers to the LoL match between E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS and Team Orange Gaming in the Prime League 1st Division Regular Season, initially scheduled for July 7 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS" if E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS win the match against Team Orange Gaming. This market will resolve to "Team Orange Gaming" if Team Orange Gaming win the match against E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price events differently. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets derive prices from open trading between participants with real financial stakes. This market aggregates the views of many traders rather than relying on a single oddsmaker's model. Prediction market prices often reflect sharper, more dynamic consensus because traders continuously adjust positions based on new information. Comparing this market's implied probability to major sportsbook lines can reveal where informed traders see value.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker pool. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the current probability traders assign to that outcome, with the total of all outcome prices equaling one dollar. As new information emerges or sentiment shifts, traders adjust their positions, moving the price up or down. Higher trading volume typically narrows spreads and increases price accuracy, making the market more reliable as a probability gauge.
This market resolves around Jul 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning team will be determined by the official match result from the Prime League 1st Division Regular Season. Once the game concludes and the result is finalized, the market will settle in favor of the correct winner, and traders holding winning shares will receive their payout.
Team roster changes, player injuries, or roster substitutions announced before match day can shift trader expectations significantly. Recent performance streaks, head-to-head records, and playoff positioning within the Prime League standings all influence confidence in each team. Pre-match commentary from analysts and community sentiment on social media may prompt traders to reposition. Odds on related markets, such as individual map outcomes or total game length, can also cascade into the main winner market as traders update their models based on emerging tactical or personnel information.