TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 8, 10:05 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks the likelihood of any player achieving a quadra kill in Game 5 of the Dplus KIA Challengers versus Nongshim Esports Academy match within the LCK Challengers League Playoffs. Currently, the consensus probability of a quadra kill occurring in Game 5 is 100.0%. This prediction is an aggregation of views from Kalshi and Polymarket, and will resolve based on official results from https://gol.gg/esports/home, with credible reporting as a backup. Keep an eye on the match outcome as the series progresses, with resolution expected by September 8, 2026, marking the end of the betting period for this event.
This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Dplus KIA Challengers and Nongshim Esports Academy in the LCK Challengers League Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA Challengers" if Dplus KIA Challengers win the match against Nongshim Esports Academy. This market will resolve to "Nongshim Esports Academy" if Nongshim Esports Academy win the match against Dplus KIA Challengers. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 22, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 8, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
If Dplus KIA wins map 2 in the LCK 2026: Dplus KIA vs. BNK FEARX League of Legends match originally scheduled for Sep 3, 2026 at 4:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If BNK FEARX wins map 2 in the LCK 2026: Dplus KIA vs. BNK FEARX League of Legends match originally scheduled for Sep 3, 2026 at 4:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds on this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to community-driven pricing and lower liquidity. While sportsbooks set fixed odds based on expert analysis, prediction markets let traders vote with their dollars, which can create prices that swing more sharply based on recent news or performance. The spread between the two can vary widely, especially as the match nears. For traders, this divergence offers opportunities to exploit mispricings or to hedge bets against more established sportsbook lines.
Several signals could shift probabilities in this market before it closes. Key players entering or leaving the lineup, coaching strategies, and recent performance metrics all play a role. Media coverage highlighting strengths or weaknesses may sway trader sentiment. Additionally, unexpected in-game events such as early leads or upsets can cause rapid adjustments. As the match draws nearer, any news from practice sessions or official announcements will likely create volatility, so monitoring league updates and community chatter is essential for spotting movement.