TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
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Match Winner
all
2 markets
Polymarket
Predict
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Jul 20, 2026
Closed: Jul 20, 9:10 AM EST
Polymarket
Intro
This market tracks the outcome of a League of Legends Best-of-1 match between DN SOOPers and BNK FEARX in the KeSPA Cup 2026 Group Stage. Aggregated across Predict, Kalshi, Polymarket, and Limitless, the consensus shows DN SOOPers favored at 99.0%, with BNK FEARX at 1.0%. Resolution is determined by official gol.gg records. Watch for the match scheduled July 20, 2026 at 2:45 AM ET, as this is the event window that triggers resolution across all platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue: Timing and scope divergence across platforms: Polymarket/Predict enforce a 7-day delay threshold and 2-hour publication window; Limitless extends to 31 days; Kalshi lacks explicit cancellation/delay rules. In-game stat markets (Polymarket/Predict only) have Game 1-specific logic absent from other platforms.Hero tip: For match winner markets, use Limitless as the longest-dated fallback (Aug 20 deadline). For in-game stat markets, only Polymarket/Predict offer them; confirm Game 1 is scheduled and not pre-determined by series outcome. Monitor gol.gg for official results within 2 hours of match end to avoid consensus-based resolution on Polymarket/Predict.Critical divergence points:
- Polymarket: Match winner resolves to named team if they win; 50-50 if canceled, tied, delayed >7 days without result, or forfeited before start. In-game stat markets (Baron, Dragon, Inhibitor, Quadra/Penta, Odd/Even Kills) resolve 50-50 if Game 1 never plays or series is decided before Game 1. Primary source: gol.gg within 2 hours; consensus + video evidence if delayed. Key quote: 'If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.'
- Predict: Identical to Polymarket: match winner resolves to named team or 50-50 on cancellation/tie/7-day delay/pre-match forfeit. No in-game stat markets listed. Key quote: 'If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.'
- Kalshi: Binary Yes resolution if either team wins the match. No explicit handling of cancellations, ties, delays, or forfeits. No publication window or delay threshold specified. Key quote: 'If BNK FEARX wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If DN SOOPers wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' (No other outcomes defined.)
- Limitless: Match winner resolves YES if named team wins; NO if they lose; Other if no official result by August 20, 2026 23:59 UTC (31-day window). Forfeits/disqualifications resolve to declared winner. Key quote: 'If the match is not completed with an official result by August 20, 2026, 23:59 UTC, the market will resolve to Other.'
Polymarket
This market refers to the LoL match between DN SOOPers and BNK FEARX in the KeSPA Cup Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 20 at 2:45AM ET. This market will resolve to "DN SOOPers" if DN SOOPers win the match against BNK FEARX. This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win the match against DN SOOPers. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Kalshi
Resolution is determined by the official match result published by the KeSPA Cup 2026 governing body. If the match is postponed and not completed within 48 hours of the originally scheduled start time (2:45 AM EDT on July 20, 2026), the market resolves to fair market price. If the match is cancelled before play begins or forfeited before any play occurs, the market resolves to fair market price. If the match begins and is subsequently forfeited, resolution follows the official result published by the governing body or tournament organizer.
Predict
This market refers to the LoL match between DN SOOPers and BNK FEARX in the KeSPA Cup Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 20 at 2:45AM ET. This market will resolve to "DN SOOPers" if DN SOOPers win the match against BNK FEARX. This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win the match against DN SOOPers. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Limitless
This market refers to the match between DN SOOPers and BNK FEARX in the KeSPA Cup 2026, scheduled for Jul 20, 2026. This market resolves to "YES" if the team named in the title wins in the specified match. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "NO." If either team loses by forfeit, disqualification, or walkover for any reason, this market will resolve to the team declared the winner, regardless of whether the match has started or when the decision is made. If the match is not completed with an official result by August 20, 2026, 23:59 UTC, the market will resolve to "Other."
Frequently asked questions
Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price events differently. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. On this market, the 24-hour volume of $909,928 shows active participation, which can lead to sharper pricing as more participants contribute information. Prediction market prices often reflect real-time sentiment and specialized knowledge, whereas sportsbooks may lag or apply wider margins. Neither is inherently more accurate, but they offer complementary perspectives on likely outcomes.
Several factors could shift prices before resolution. Team roster changes, recent performance trends, or injury announcements involving key players may trigger significant repricing. In-game events such as early objectives, team fights, or strategic pivots could influence live sentiment if this market tracks real-time developments. Pre-match analysis, expert commentary, and community discussion on social media and forums often move odds as new information surfaces. Monitoring esports news outlets and team announcements will help you anticipate potential market swings.