TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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LoL: Deer Gaming vs Verdant (BO5) - NLC Playoffs
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Deer Gaming vs Verdant?

Volume:
$271,691

Game 1 Winner

 - Polymarket

Game 1 Winner - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 9, 2026

Closed: Sep 9, 3:33 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Game 1 Winner

View
100%
17%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$46,088
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 3.5 Games

100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$13,119
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Verdant

100%
16%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12,858
N/A
N/A
$8,339
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game 2 Winner

0%
79%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$51,458
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$48,707
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game 4 Winner

0%
89%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$36,417
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game 3 Winner

0%
81%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$32,731
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Deer Gaming

0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,224
N/A
N/A
$13,227
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 4.5 Games

0%
34%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,022
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$66
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Slay a Dragon

100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
18.9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Quadra Kill

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Penta Kill

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor

0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Slay a Dragon

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
18.9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors

0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Quadra Kill

0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Penta Kill

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor

0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Slay a Dragon

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors

0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 39

Description

This prediction group covers the League of Legends match between Deer Gaming and Verdant in the NLC Playoffs. Markets range from overall match winner to specific in-game events like Baron Nashor kills and inhibitor destructions across all potential games in the best-of-five series.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi focuses solely on the overall match winner, while Polymarket offers a suite of markets covering individual games and in-game events with detailed resolution criteria.Hero tip: Trade the overall match winner on Kalshi for simplicity, or focus on specific in-game events on Polymarket if you have strong convictions and are willing to monitor game-by-game results.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Provides detailed resolution rules for each game (1-5) and in-game events (Baron, Dragons, Inhibitors, Kills). Resolves to 50/50 in cases of cancellation, postponement beyond a deadline, or incomplete games. Primary source is gol.gg/esports/home.
  • Kalshi: Resolves simply to 'Yes' if either Deer Gaming or Verdant wins the match. No consideration for individual game outcomes or specific in-game events. Relies on a basic win condition.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket semifinal match between Deer Gaming and Verdant in the NLC Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Deer Gaming" if Deer Gaming win the match against Verdant. This market will resolve to "Verdant" if Verdant win the match against Deer Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 23, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 9, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the NLC 2026 League of Legends match between Verdant and Deer Gaming, scheduled for September 9, 2026, at 12:00 PM EDT. If Verdant wins the match, the 'Verdant' market resolves to Yes, and the 'Deer Gaming' market resolves to No. Conversely, if Deer Gaming wins, the 'Deer Gaming' market resolves to Yes, and the 'Verdant' market resolves to No. Should the match be postponed and fail to commence within 48 hours of its original start time, both markets resolve to their respective fair market prices. If the match is cancelled entirely before any gameplay occurs, or if either team forfeits prior to the start, both markets also resolve to their fair market prices. However, if the match begins and is later forfeited or otherwise concluded irregularly, the markets resolve according to the official result declared by the governing body or tournament organizer. Kalshi disclaims any formal affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the consensus view of traders on the outcome of the LoL: Deer Gaming vs Verdant (BO5) match in the NLC Playoffs. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $271,691, with $271,143 traded in the last 24 hours. The dashboard displays probabilities for various outcomes, allowing you to see where the crowd believes the most likely results lie. This provides a unique perspective beyond traditional odds, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd on the NLC Playoffs market.

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the mechanisms behind price discovery. Sportsbooks set odds based on internal models and profit margins, while prediction markets rely on the collective intelligence of traders who buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, especially as an event approaches and more information becomes available. The volume of $271,691 in this market suggests a degree of interest and potential for price convergence with sportsbooks as the event draws nearer.