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LoL: Conviction vs Dorado Gaming (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stage
predict
kalshi
polymarket

LoL: Conviction vs Dorado Gaming (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stage

Volume:
$480,790

Dorado Gaming

 - Kalshi

Dorado Gaming - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 31, 2026

Closed: Jul 31, 12:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Dorado Gaming

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$89,977
N/A
N/A
$54,919
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game 1 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$38,383
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Game 1 Winner

View
99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
N/A
$2,432
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$300
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 2.5 Games

View
14%
Yes 14¢No 86¢
—
$9,234
$39
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Match Winner

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$933
$9,591
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Match Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$160,417
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Game 2 Winner

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
N/A
$1,887
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Game 2 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$60,487
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Game Handicap: CNV (-1.5) vs Dorado Gaming (+1.5)

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$601
$62
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Game Handicap: CNV (-1.5) vs Dorado Gaming (+1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,186
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Conviction

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$98,031
N/A
N/A
$72,036
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Slay a Dragon

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Any Player Quadra Kill

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Penta Kill

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Slay a Dragon

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Quadra Kill

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Penta Kill

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 30

Intro

This market tracks whether both teams will slay Baron Nashor in Game 3 of the League of Legends match between Conviction and Dorado Gaming during the North American Challengers League Group Stage. The aggregated consensus probability for this outcome stands at 100.0% across Predict, Kalshi, and Polymarket. Official results will be sourced from https://gol.gg/esports/home. Watch for the match on July 30 at 8:00PM ET, as this will determine the resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms use the same core resolution logic based on official results from gol.gg with credible reporting as a backup, and consistent handling of cancellations and incomplete matches.Primary resolution logic: Official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home, with credible reporting used as a backup if results are not published within 2 hours after the event's conclusion

Core resolution logic:

  • Match winner markets resolve to the team that wins the match, with 50-50 resolution for cancellations, ties, or unresolved outcomes after 7 days
  • Game-specific markets resolve based on the outcome of each individual game, with 50-50 resolution if the game is not completed or the match is canceled
  • Total games markets resolve based on the total number of games played, with specific rules for forfeitures and walkovers
  • In-game statistic markets resolve based on occurrences during each game, with 50-50 resolution for cancellations or unresolved games

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Match Cancellation: All markets resolve to 50-50 if the match is canceled before any play begins or is delayed beyond 7 days without a winner determined
  • Incomplete Match: If the match begins but is not completed, game-specific markets resolve based on completed games, while match-wide markets resolve to 50-50 unless a team wins due to forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover
  • Forfeit/Walkover: If a team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, match winner markets resolve to the winning team, but if the forfeit occurs before the start, markets resolve to 50-50
Timing: Markets resolve based on official results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, with credible reporting used as a backup if results are not published within this timeframeOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the LoL match between Conviction and Dorado Gaming in the North American Challengers League Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 30 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Conviction" if Conviction win the match against Dorado Gaming. This market will resolve to "Dorado Gaming" if Dorado Gaming win the match against Conviction. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins the designated League of Legends match. If the match is postponed and not completed within 48 hours of the original start time, cancelled before play begins, or forfeited before any play occurs, the market resolves to the fair market price. If the match begins and is later forfeited, the market resolves based on the official result published by the governing body. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Predict

This market refers to the LoL match between Conviction and Dorado Gaming in the North American Challengers League Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 30 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Conviction" if Conviction win the match against Dorado Gaming. This market will resolve to "Dorado Gaming" if Dorado Gaming win the match against Conviction. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Conviction vs Dorado Gaming BO3 market aggregates real-time data from multiple platforms, showing how traders price the likelihood of each team winning the best-of-three series. It displays current probabilities, volume of $480,790, and 24-hour volume of $480,457, letting you see consensus and divergence across venues. This unified view helps you spot shifts in market sentiment as the group stage progresses.