TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
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LYON
- Kalshi
LYON - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 30, 2026
Closed: Aug 29, 9:19 PM EST
Kalshi
Intro
This market tracks whether Cloud9 secures first blood in Game 1 of their League of Legends match against LYON during the LCS Regular Season. The aggregated consensus probability for this outcome stands at 99.5% across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Limitless, with resolution based on official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. The outcome will be confirmed by August 30, 2026, marking the end of the betting period for this match.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms use the same core resolution logic based on official results from gol.gg, with consistent handling of cancellations, postponements, and incomplete matches.Primary resolution logic: Official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home, with credible reporting as a backupCore resolution logic:
- Markets resolve to the stated outcome if the match or specific game is completed as scheduled or within the postponement deadline
- Markets resolve to 50-50 for cancellations, incomplete matches, forfeits, or if the series is not played due to postponement beyond the deadline
- Game-specific markets only resolve if the specific game is played; otherwise, they resolve to 50-50
- Remade games are resolved based on the remade game only
Edge cases & clarifications:
- Postponement Deadline: If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to start on or before September 12, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. If not, all markets resolve to 50-50
- Incomplete Games: If a game begins but is not completed, game-specific markets resolve based on the partial results if a winner is determined, otherwise 50-50
- Forfeit/Walkover: If a team forfeits or walks over before the game starts, markets resolve to 50-50. If a team forfeits during a game, the market resolves to the winning team
Polymarket
This market refers to the LoL match between Cloud9 and LYON in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 29, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Cloud9" if Cloud9 win the match against LYON. This market will resolve to "LYON" if LYON win the match against Cloud9. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 12, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 29, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Kalshi
The market resolves based on the official result of the LCS 2026 League of Legends match between LYON and Cloud9 scheduled for August 29, 2026, at 7:00 PM EDT. If LYON wins, the LYON market resolves to Yes; if Cloud9 wins, the Cloud9 market resolves to Yes. If the match is postponed and does not start within 48 hours of the original time, both markets resolve to the fair market price. If the match is cancelled before any play begins, or if either team forfeits before play starts, both markets also resolve to the fair market price. If the match begins and is later forfeited, the markets resolve according to the official result declared by the governing league or tournament organizer. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Limitless
This market refers to the LoL match between Cloud9 and LYON in the LCS Summer 2026, initially scheduled for August 29, 2026 UTC. This market will resolve to "Cloud9" if Cloud9 win the match against LYON. This market will resolve to "LYON" if LYON win the match against Cloud9. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, or the team is renamed or rebranded, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
