TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Match Winner
all
2 markets
Polymarket
Kalshi
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Mar 18, 2026
Closed: Mar 18, 5:45 PM EST
Polymarket
Game Handicap: BFX (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5)
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+1.5)
Description
This market refers to the LoL Elimination match between BNK FEARX and Team Secret Whales in the First Stand Group A, initially scheduled for March 18 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win the match against Team Secret Whales. This market will resolve to "Team Secret Whales" if Team Secret Whales win the match against BNK FEARX. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Polymarket and Kalshi both resolve based on the official match outcome from gol.gg, with Polymarket providing detailed game-level and series-level resolution criteria, while Kalshi uses a simpler binary framework that aligns with the same underlying match result.Primary resolution logic: Official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home; if not published within 2 hours after event conclusion, consensus of credible reporting including video evidence may be used.Core resolution logic:
- Series winner market (Polymarket) resolves to the team that wins the best-of-5 match; Kalshi resolves YES if either BNK FEARX or Team Secret Whales wins (which is always true for a completed match, making it a binary confirmation of match completion).
- Individual game winners resolve based on which team wins that specific game; if a game is not completed, it resolves 50-50.
- First blood markets resolve to the team that secures the first kill in that game; if first blood does not occur, resolves 50-50.
- Total kills over/under markets resolve based on combined champion kills by both teams; executions do not count.
- Objective markets (Baron, Dragon, Inhibitors) resolve YES if both teams achieve the condition, NO otherwise.
- Multikill markets (Quadra/Penta) resolve YES if any player achieves the feat; Penta counts as Quadra.
- Odd/Even kills markets resolve based on whether total kills is odd or even.
- Series length markets (O/U 3.5, O/U 4.5) resolve based on number of games played; forfeits/walkovers count if match is completed.
- Game handicap markets resolve based on the difference in games won between teams.
- If match is canceled, not played, delayed beyond 7 days without completion, or ends in forfeit/disqualification before play begins, most markets resolve 50-50.
- If match begins but is not completed, game-specific markets resolve 50-50 unless the game itself was concluded; series markets resolve 50-50 unless one team clinches via opponent forfeiture.
Edge cases & clarifications:
- Match Cancellation or 7-Day Delay: If the match is canceled entirely or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date (March 18, 2026) without a winner determined, all markets resolve 50-50.
- Forfeit Before Match Begins: If one team forfeits, is disqualified, or walks over before the match starts, series markets resolve 50-50; however, if the match begins and one team forfeits mid-series, the winning team is credited with the series win.
- Incomplete Game Resolution: If a game begins but is not completed (e.g., technical issue), game-specific markets (winner, kills, first blood, objectives) resolve 50-50 unless the specific event (e.g., first blood) occurred before stoppage.
- Game Remake: If a game is remade, resolution is based on the remade game only; any events that occurred in the original game before the remake are disregarded, except for first blood (which resolves based on pre-remake occurrence if no first blood occurred in the remake).
- Series Clinch Before All Games Played: If a team clinches the series before all five games are played (e.g., wins 3-0 in a best-of-5), markets for unplayed games resolve 50-50.
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