TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group C
limitless
predict
polymarket

Who will win Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI?

Volume:
$1,479,780

Match Winner

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 22, 2026

Closed: Jul 15, 11:07 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,278,660
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Match Winner

99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$36,288
$199,069
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

Bilibili Gaming

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
-0.1¢
N/A
$1,024
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
$26
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

Movistar KOI

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
99.9¢
N/A
$1,000
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Slay a Dragon

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Quadra Kill

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Penta Kill

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a League of Legends Best-of-1 match between Bilibili Gaming and Movistar KOI at the Esports World Cup Group C, including match winner, in-game objectives, and kill-related metrics. The aggregated consensus across Polymarket and Limitless shows 100.0% probability for the leading outcome. Resolution is sourced from gol.gg. Watch for the match scheduled on July 15, 2026 at 6:10 AM ET, as platform divergence exists in how cancellations or forfeits will be handled after the event window closes.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Forfeit/walkover treatment differs between Limitless (declares winner) and Polymarket/Predict (50-50 resolution). Limitless also enforces a hard August 15, 2026 deadline with OTHER resolution, while Polymarket/Predict rely on 7-day delay rule without explicit hard cutoff.Hero tip: Limitless match winner market will resolve YES/NO even for forfeits; Polymarket and Predict will resolve 50-50 for pre-match forfeits. If a team forfeits before Game 1 starts, Limitless traders holding the winning team position will receive YES; Polymarket/Predict traders will receive 50-50. Watch for forfeit announcements on gol.gg before August 15 to avoid settlement surprises on Limitless.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket (Match Winner + In-Game Objectives): Pre-match forfeit/walkover resolves to 50-50. In-game objective markets (Baron, Dragons, Inhibitors, Quadra/Penta, Odd/Even Kills) resolve to 50-50 if Game 1 never played. No explicit hard deadline; references 7-day delay rule only. Quote: 'If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.'
  • Limitless (Match Winner): Forfeit/disqualification/walkover declares the winner as YES/NO regardless of match start. Hard deadline: August 15, 2026, 23:59 UTC; resolves to OTHER if no official result by deadline. Quote: 'If either team loses by forfeit, disqualification, or walkover for any reason, this market will resolve to the team declared the winner, regardless of whether the match has started or when the decision is made. If the match is not completed with an official result by August 15, 2026, 23:59 UTC, the market will resolve to "Other."'
  • Predict (Match Winner): Identical to Polymarket: pre-match forfeit/walkover resolves to 50-50. Match-in-progress forfeit/disqualification resolves to winning team. No explicit hard deadline. Quote: 'If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between Bilibili Gaming and Movistar KOI in the Esports World Cup Group C, initially scheduled for July 15 at 6:10AM ET. This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win the match against Movistar KOI. This market will resolve to "Movistar KOI" if Movistar KOI win the match against Bilibili Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Predict

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between Bilibili Gaming and Movistar KOI in the Esports World Cup Group C, initially scheduled for July 15 at 6:10AM ET. This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win the match against Movistar KOI. This market will resolve to "Movistar KOI" if Movistar KOI win the match against Bilibili Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Limitless

This market refers to the match between Bilibili Gaming and Movistar KOI in the Esports World Cup 2026, scheduled for Jul 15, 2026. This market resolves to "YES" if the team named in the title wins in the specified match. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "NO." If either team loses by forfeit, disqualification, or walkover for any reason, this market will resolve to the team declared the winner, regardless of whether the match has started or when the decision is made. If the match is not completed with an official result by August 15, 2026, 23:59 UTC, the market will resolve to "Other."

Frequently asked questions

The Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI match dashboard aggregates prediction market activity across multiple venues, enabling traders to monitor real-time odds on various outcomes tied to this League of Legends Esports World Cup Group C matchup. The dashboard displays trading volume, price movements, and consensus forecasts as participants buy and sell shares reflecting their expectations. With cumulative volume of $1,479,780 across platforms, this market captures significant trader interest. The interface helps both casual observers and serious bettors track how the community's collective assessment of the match evolves leading up to kickoff.

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes differently. Sportsbooks set odds based on internal models and risk management, then adjust them to balance action on both sides. Prediction markets, by contrast, derive prices from continuous trading by thousands of independent participants, creating a crowdsourced probability estimate. This market has attracted $187,728 in 24-hour volume, reflecting active price discovery. Prediction market odds often incorporate information faster than sportsbooks because traders profit immediately from accurate forecasts. However, sportsbook odds may reflect sharper professional analysis, so comparing both sources provides a fuller picture of expected outcomes.

Polymarket and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform operates with distinct user bases, fee structures, and liquidity pools, which can lead to temporary price gaps. Polymarket and Limitless may attract traders with different risk appetites, information access, or time horizons, causing one venue to price outcomes higher or lower than the other. Arbitrage traders typically exploit these spreads, but friction costs—withdrawal delays, platform fees, or slippage on large trades—can prevent prices from converging instantly. Market depth also varies; shallower liquidity on one platform may amplify price swings relative to the other. Monitoring both venues helps traders identify mispricings and understand where consensus is strongest.

Several catalysts can shift prices before the match begins. Roster announcements, player injuries, or last-minute substitutions often trigger sharp repricing as traders reassess team strength. Recent tournament performance by either squad—wins, losses, or dominant displays—influences confidence in their odds. Coaching changes or strategic adjustments revealed in scrims or public statements may also move the market. Betting syndicates or professional traders entering the market with large positions can create momentum. Additionally, odds on related markets, such as total game duration or specific in-game milestones, sometimes signal where informed traders expect the match to go, creating spillover effects on the main outcome.