TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.6b
24H VOL:
$215,176,776
24H TRANSACTIONS:
595,647,402
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,321,740,341
576,656
Markets across
14,624
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,045
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 2?
$
$20
$50
$100
$500
Description
This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between Bilibili Gaming and JD Gaming in the Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2, initially scheduled for April 14 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win the match against JD Gaming. This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win the match against Bilibili Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds on Polymarket often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time crowd sentiment rather than fixed bookmaker spreads. Sportsbooks typically adjust odds to balance liability, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs continuously. For this Bilibili versus JD Gaming matchup, prediction market participants may price in recent scrim results, roster changes, or meta shifts faster than sportsbooks update their lines. Comparing Polymarket odds to major esports betting sites can reveal where the crowd sees edge relative to professional oddsmakers, though both venues ultimately reflect uncertainty about match outcome.
On Polymarket, the Bilibili Gaming versus JD Gaming matchup is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader buy and sell orders into real-time probabilities for each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices reflect the cumulative conviction of all traders; as more capital flows toward one outcome, its implied probability rises. The current market shows active trading with substantial volume, indicating genuine uncertainty about the result. Traders can enter or exit positions at any time before Apr 13, 2026, and prices adjust dynamically based on new information, team announcements, or perceived shifts in competitive strength between the two LPL squads.
The market resolves on Apr 13, 2026 following the completion of the best-of-three match between Bilibili Gaming and JD Gaming in the Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2. Resolution is determined by the official match result recorded by the tournament organizer and broadcast. The outcome reflects which team wins the majority of games in the series—either 2–0 or 2–1. Once the final game concludes and the winner is confirmed, the market settles accordingly, and traders' positions are finalized based on their predictions.
Several catalysts could shift odds before Apr 13, 2026. Roster announcements or last-minute player substitutions for either team would impact perceived strength. Recent scrim results or LPL regular-season performance leaks could signal momentum. Meta shifts from patch updates may favor one team's champion pool or playstyle over the other. Injury reports or visa delays affecting key players would be priced in immediately. Tournament bracket seeding changes or opponent information from earlier qualifier rounds might alter strategic preparation. Media reports on team morale, coaching changes, or strategic innovations could influence trader conviction. Any official statement from either organization regarding readiness or confidence would likely trigger trading volume spikes.
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