TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 9, 10:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether both teams will slay Baron Nashor during Game 5 of the Bilibili Gaming versus Hanwha Life Esports best-of-five matchup in the Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs Upper bracket final. The aggregated consensus across Polymarket and Predict shows 100.0% probability for this outcome. Resolution is determined by official data from gol.gg/esports/home, with fallback to credible video evidence and consensus reporting if gol.gg does not publish within 2 hours of event conclusion. Watch for the match scheduled on July 9, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET to determine if the series extends to a decisive fifth game where both teams execute this critical objective.
This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket final match between Bilibili Gaming and Hanwha Life Esports in the Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 9 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win the match against Hanwha Life Esports. This market will resolve to "Hanwha Life Esports" if Hanwha Life Esports win the match against Bilibili Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket final match between Bilibili Gaming and Hanwha Life Esports in the Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 9 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win the match against Hanwha Life Esports. This market will resolve to "Hanwha Life Esports" if Hanwha Life Esports win the match against Bilibili Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Polymarket and Predict may track slightly different outcome definitions or liquidity pools, causing price divergence. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform's user base, fee structure, and order-book depth influence how quickly prices adjust to new information. Polymarket may emphasize match winner odds, while Predict focuses on game totals, attracting different trader profiles. These structural differences mean identical events can trade at different implied probabilities across venues, creating opportunities for sophisticated traders.
Key catalysts include roster announcements, player injuries or substitutions, recent scrim results, and meta shifts from League patches. Team performance in earlier tournament rounds will heavily influence trader sentiment, as will head-to-head records and regional strength comparisons. Media narratives around momentum, coaching changes, or player form can also drive repricing. Any official statement from either organization or unexpected competitive results from related events may trigger sharp moves in this market's odds.