TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
LoL: Berlin International Gaming vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffs
Description
This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket round 1 match between Berlin International Gaming and Karmine Corp Blue in the EMEA Masters Playoffs, initially scheduled for March 23 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Berlin International Gaming" if Berlin International Gaming win the match against Karmine Corp Blue. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp Blue" if Karmine Corp Blue win the match against Berlin International Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi diverge on the threshold for the Games Total market. Polymarket resolves Over/Under 2.5 (3+ games = Over), while Kalshi resolves Yes/No on over 2.5 maps (3+ maps = Yes). Both use the same source (gol.gg) and count forfeits/walkovers identically, but the market structure and phrasing differ slightly in how they present the same underlying condition.Hero Tip:
If you trade the Games Total market, note that Polymarket's Over and Kalshi's Yes represent the same outcome (3+ games played). Ensure your position accounts for this semantic equivalence across platforms. The resolution logic is functionally identical, but the market labels differ.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Aligned with Kalshi: Both resolve based on total games/maps played in the series. Polymarket frames this as Over/Under 2.5, resolving to Over if 3 or more games are played. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to Over if Berlin International Gaming and Karmine Corp Blue play 3 or more games in this series.'
- Kalshi: Aligned with Polymarket: Both resolve based on total games/maps played in the series. Kalshi frames this as Yes/No, resolving to Yes if over 2.5 maps are played (i.e., 3 or more). Key quote: 'If over 2.5 maps are played in the EMEA Masters 2026: Karmine Corp Blue vs. Berlin International Gaming League of Legends match originally scheduled for Mar 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
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