TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 4:18 PM EST
Predict
This prediction market group covers the League of Legends match between Arctic Pandas and Verdant in the NLC Playoffs. Markets range from overall match winner to specific game outcomes and in-game events like Baron Nashor kills and inhibitor destructions.
This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket final match between Arctic Pandas and Verdant in the NLC Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Arctic Pandas" if Arctic Pandas win the match against Verdant. This market will resolve to "Verdant" if Verdant win the match against Arctic Pandas. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket final match between Arctic Pandas and Verdant in the NLC Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Arctic Pandas" if Arctic Pandas win the match against Verdant. This market will resolve to "Verdant" if Verdant win the match against Arctic Pandas. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the underlying mechanisms of price discovery. Sportsbooks set odds based on internal models and aim to profit from margins, while prediction markets rely on the collective intelligence of traders who have skin in the game. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, as traders are incentivized to bet based on their genuine beliefs. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes be more readily available and cover a wider range of outcomes than are currently offered on Polymarket or Predict for this event.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict may diverge due to variations in user base, trading volume, and market-specific rules. Polymarket currently favors Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill? at 99, while Predict leans toward LoL: Arctic Pandas vs Verdant (BO5) - NLC Playoffs at n/a. Different liquidity and participation levels on each platform can create discrepancies, as can differing risk appetites among traders. Furthermore, the way each platform handles fees and order types can also influence price formation. These factors contribute to a dynamic pricing environment where odds can fluctuate independently across venues.