TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
LoL: Arctic Pandas vs DMG Esports (BO1) - NLC Regular Season
Volume:
$37,735
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This market group covers a single League of Legends best-of-one match between Arctic Pandas and DMG Esports scheduled for February 25, 2026, in the NLC Regular Season. The outcome is determined by which team wins the match on the scheduled date.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market resolves based on NLC 2026 championship outcome (tournament-level), while Polymarket resolves based on the specific match result (match-level). These are logically distinct events. Additionally, Polymarket defines edge cases (cancellation, tie, delay beyond 7 days) as 50-50 resolution, while Kalshi provides no edge case guidance, creating ambiguity in non-standard scenarios.Hero Tip:
Do not assume these markets are interchangeable. Kalshi bettors are wagering on whether their chosen team wins the entire NLC 2026 season; Polymarket bettors are wagering on the outcome of one specific match. If the match is played and one team wins, both markets may resolve consistently only if that team also goes on to win the championship (Kalshi) or if Kalshi's resolution is actually intended to track the match result despite the confusing wording. Clarify with the platform operator whether Kalshi's 'NLC 2026' language refers to the championship or is shorthand for the match. Request explicit edge case rules from Kalshi (cancellation, tie, forfeit, delay scenarios).Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Tournament-outcome market. Resolves to Yes if either DMG Esports or Arctic Pandas wins the NLC 2026 championship. No edge case guidance provided. Key Quote: 'If DMG Esports wins the NLC 2026: DMG Esports vs. Arctic Pandas League of Legends match originally scheduled for Feb 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Match-outcome market. Resolves to the match winner (Arctic Pandas or DMG Esports). Cancellations, ties, and delays beyond 7 days resolve to 50-50. Forfeits before match start also resolve to 50-50. Key Quote: 'This market will resolve to "Arctic Pandas" if Arctic Pandas win the match against DMG Esports... If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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