TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 7, 10:02 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether any player on either Anyone's Legend or Bilibili Gaming achieves a Quadra Kill in Game 1 of their best-of-five League of Legends LPL Playoffs match. Currently, the probability of a Quadra Kill occurring in Game 1 on Polymarket is 100.0%, with a 0.5% probability of a Penta Kill instead. Resolution will be based on data from https://gol.gg/esports/home. Keep an eye on the start of the match itself, scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET, as the first game will determine whether this market resolves to “Yes” or “No”.
This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket final match between Anyone's Legend and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Anyone's Legend" if Anyone's Legend win the match against Bilibili Gaming. This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win the match against Anyone's Legend. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 21, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 7, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and incentives. Sportsbooks incorporate a profit margin into their odds, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it could suggest differing expert opinions or that the market has identified information not yet fully priced into sportsbook odds. Analyzing these differences can provide valuable insights for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the potential winner of the series between Anyone's Legend and Bilibili Gaming. The current price indicates what traders collectively believe is the likelihood of a specific team winning.
This market resolves around Sep 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the best-of-five series between Anyone's Legend and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Playoffs. The winning team, as determined by the official tournament organizers, will dictate the settlement of this market. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how their positions will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Unexpected news regarding player form, injuries, or team strategies could significantly shift trader sentiment. In-game performance during the series itself, such as dominant wins or surprising upsets in early matches, will likely cause substantial price movements. Analyst predictions and public opinion, while not directly reflected in the market, can also indirectly impact trading activity and therefore the price. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the market.