TOTAL VOLUME:

$54.3b

24H VOL:

$158,613,015

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,206,641,323

499,459

Markets across

13,676

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

1,789

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

51%

VS.

Kalshi:

49%

BETA
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kalshi
polymarket
Trending

LoL: Aeterna Esports vs StoneHenge Esports (BO1) - LIT Regular Season

Volume:
$46,087
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade

Description

This market refers to the LoL match between Aeterna Esports and StoneHenge Esports in the LIT Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 16 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Aeterna Esports" if Aeterna Esports win the match against StoneHenge Esports. This market will resolve to "StoneHenge Esports" if StoneHenge Esports win the match against Aeterna Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue:

Kalshi market logic is contradictory and unresolvable: it resolves YES for both possible outcomes (StoneHenge wins OR Aeterna wins), creating a logical impossibility. Polymarket provides clear binary resolution with well-defined edge cases.

Hero Tip:

Avoid Kalshi market entirely—it will resolve YES regardless of match outcome, making it a guaranteed win but indicating a critical platform error. Trade only on Polymarket, which has coherent resolution logic: YES for Aeterna win, YES for StoneHenge win, 50-50 for cancellation/tie/forfeit/7+ day delay.

Critical Divergence Points:

  • Polymarket: Binary match outcome market with clear resolution: resolves to 'Aeterna Esports' if Aeterna wins, 'StoneHenge Esports' if StoneHenge wins. Resolves 50-50 for cancellation, tie, 7+ day delay, or pre-match forfeit/walkover. Completed forfeits/disqualifications during play resolve to the winning team. Source: gol.gg with 2-hour fallback to credible reporting.
  • Kalshi: Logical contradiction: Market states 'resolves to Yes' if StoneHenge wins AND 'resolves to Yes' if Aeterna wins. Both outcomes trigger YES resolution, making the market mathematically impossible to resolve correctly. No NO condition or tie/cancellation logic provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

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