TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$87,997,338
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,395,155,069
395,664
Markets across
30,076
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,626
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 1:35 PM EST
Kalshi
In a high-stakes League of Legends match, two teams compete across multiple maps. The outcome on a specific map determines whether one team secures an early lead or falls behind in the series.
The market resolves based on which team wins map 3 of the Rift Legends 2026 match between Lodis and devils.one x KMT, scheduled for September 8, 2026, at 11:00 AM EDT. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, the market resolves to the fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, resolution follows the official result from the governing body. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from sportsbook odds, which are often set by experts or algorithms. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like team news or public betting patterns, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when there’s a lot of uncertainty. However, as the event approaches, the odds on Kalshi and sportsbook odds often converge, as new information becomes available and is incorporated by both groups. This market provides a unique perspective on the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different map selections. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that map being selected, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy contracts for a particular map, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform facilitates this price discovery process, allowing traders to express their beliefs and profit from accurately predicting the outcome. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information available.
This market resolves around Sep 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the outcome will be determined by the map chosen for Map 3 in the Lodis vs. devils.one x KMT match. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy. Traders who correctly predicted the map selection will receive a payout based on the final market prices at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to understand any potential factors that could influence the final result.
Several signals could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or map preferences could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected roster changes or announcements about specific map bans during the preceding rounds could also lead to shifts in the odds. Furthermore, large-volume trades by sophisticated traders on Kalshi could indicate new information or a change in belief. Finally, general hype or social media trends surrounding the teams or specific maps could also contribute to price movements in this market.