TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 11:45 AM EST
Kalshi
The opening map of the match serves as a critical battleground where both teams will strive for an initial advantage, setting the stage for the rest of the competition.
The market resolves based on which team wins map 1 of the Rift Legends 2026 match between Lodis and devils.one x KMT, scheduled for September 8, 2026, at 11:00 AM EDT. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, the market resolves to the fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, resolution follows the official result from the governing body. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on their own analyses and may incorporate a profit margin, whereas this market allows traders to openly buy and sell contracts based on their own beliefs about the likelihood of each map being chosen. If there's a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the market believes a particular outcome is more or less likely than sportsbooks currently project, or that information not yet reflected in sportsbook lines is available to traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders submit buy and sell orders for contracts representing each possible map pick, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. Essentially, the price of a contract reflects the probability that traders collectively assign to that map being selected. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a map will be chosen, the higher its contract price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official map selection for the first map of the Lodis versus devils.one x KMT CS2 match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will settle to 100 for the map that is ultimately chosen, and 0 for all other maps. Traders who correctly predicted the map pick will receive a payout based on the final contract price at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the price movement in this market. Any news regarding team rosters, recent performance, or strategic map preferences could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player health or changes in the game meta could also have a significant impact. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi itself could indicate informed activity and cause prices to move quickly. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to the event's resolution.