TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

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2,388,728,490

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$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

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61%

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LKP Motor Lublin vs. Legia Warszawa
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of LKP Motor Lublin vs. Legia Warszawa?

Volume:
$219,370

Legia Warszawa

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 5, 2026

Closed: Sep 5, 4:34 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Legia Warszawa

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$63,791
N/A
N/A
$43,214
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Legia Warszawa

View
100%
53%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$34,750
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Motor Lublin

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$65,626
N/A
N/A
$18,892
Settled
No
polymarket

LKP Motor Lublin

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$713
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$48,482
N/A
N/A
$22,881
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (LKP Motor Lublin vs. Legia Warszawa)

View
0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,008
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between LKP Motor Lublin and Legia Warszawa, scheduled for September 5, 2026. Markets exist for each team winning and for the game ending in a draw, all settled based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket specifies a 'No' resolution for a canceled game, while Kalshi markets resolve to 'Yes' for a win or draw, implying no specific cancellation handling.Hero tip: Be mindful of the cancellation risk on Polymarket. If you believe the game is likely to be canceled, avoid long positions on 'Yes' outcomes there.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets resolve to 'Yes' if LKP Motor Lublin or a draw occurs. Resolves to 'No' if the game is canceled. "If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 'No'."
  • Kalshi: Markets resolve to 'Yes' for a win by either team or a draw. No explicit handling of game cancellation is provided. "If Motor Lublin wins...the market resolves to Yes. If Legia Warszawa wins...the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result...the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Poland Ekstraklasa game, scheduled for Saturday, September 5, 2026 between LKP Motor Lublin and Legia Warszawa.

Kalshi

If Motor Lublin wins the Motor Lublin vs Legia Warszawa professional Ekstraklasa soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Legia Warszawa wins the Motor Lublin vs Legia Warszawa professional Ekstraklasa soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the Motor Lublin vs Legia Warszawa professional Ekstraklasa soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the mechanisms by which they are created. Sportsbooks set odds based on their internal models and profit margins, while prediction markets are driven by the collective forecasts of participants who have 'skin in the game'. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, as traders are incentivized to research and bet based on their best assessment. However, sportsbook odds are more readily available and may offer different betting options not currently available in this market.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Kalshi can arise from several factors. These platforms have different user bases, trading incentives, and liquidity levels, all of which influence price discovery. Furthermore, the specific market designs on each platform—such as fees or order types—can contribute to price discrepancies. Market participants on Polymarket may have access to different information or interpret available data differently than those on Kalshi, leading to varying probabilities assigned to each outcome of the LKP Motor Lublin vs. Legia Warszawa match.