TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 16, 9:39 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Miriam Bulgaru and Mia Ristic in the Ljubljana, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Miriam Bulgaru' if Miriam Bulgaru advances against Mia Ristic. This market will resolve to 'Mia Ristic' if Mia Ristic advances against Miriam Bulgaru. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Miriam Bulgaru and Mia Ristic in the Ljubljana, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Miriam Bulgaru' if Miriam Bulgaru advances against Mia Ristic. This market will resolve to 'Mia Ristic' if Mia Ristic advances against Miriam Bulgaru. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines to balance their risk, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different information and methodologies, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's likelihood. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is driven by supply and demand, with higher demand for a particular outcome driving up its price and, consequently, its implied probability.
This market resolves around Sep 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Miriam Bulgaru versus Mia Ristic match. The platform will rely on widely available and trusted sources to determine the winner. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result. It’s important to note that the resolution process is designed to be transparent and objective, ensuring a fair outcome for all participants.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in coaching strategy could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in related matches, or even broader trends in tennis performance, could also impact the market. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analyses, might also play a role, although the market is ultimately driven by traders' own assessments. Major upsets in other tournaments or significant shifts in betting patterns could also contribute to price movements.