TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 10:15 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the scheduled tennis match between Maria Lourdes Carle and Ekaterine Gorgodze in Ljubljana will be completed. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to “Ljubljana: Completed Match: Maria Lourdes Carle vs Ekaterine Gorgodze” and a 0.1% probability to “Ljubljana: Maria Lourdes Carle vs Ekaterine Gorgodze”. The resolution source for this market is the official WTA Tennis scores website at https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Keep an eye on the match’s progress, as this market will resolve based on the outcome of the match originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 4:00AM ET, with final resolution expected by September 22, 2026.
This market refers to the tennis match between Maria Lourdes Carle and Ekaterine Gorgodze in the Ljubljana, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maria Lourdes Carle' if Maria Lourdes Carle advances against Ekaterine Gorgodze. This market will resolve to 'Ekaterine Gorgodze' if Ekaterine Gorgodze advances against Maria Lourdes Carle. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides, while this market’s odds are driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of each system. It’s common to see this market adjust more rapidly to new information than traditional sportsbooks, as traders react quickly to developments.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each player winning. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting a growing expectation of that result. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic process ensures that the market price reflects the collective intelligence of all participants.
This market resolves around Sep 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by the official result of the Ljubljana tennis match between Maria Lourdes Carle and Ekaterine Gorgodze. Resolution will reflect which player won the match, as determined by the official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency for all traders involved in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player form, such as injury reports or recent match results, could significantly shift expectations. Changes in weather conditions at the tournament location might also affect the perceived advantage of either player. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the tournament could also indirectly impact this market, as they might alter the overall competitive landscape. Furthermore, any significant public endorsements or analysis favoring one player over the other could lead to increased trading volume and price movement.