TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 16, 7:51 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Francesca Jones and Mona Barthel in the Ljubljana, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francesca Jones' if Francesca Jones advances against Mona Barthel. This market will resolve to 'Mona Barthel' if Mona Barthel advances against Francesca Jones. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Francesca Jones and Mona Barthel in the Ljubljana, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francesca Jones' if Francesca Jones advances against Mona Barthel. This market will resolve to 'Mona Barthel' if Mona Barthel advances against Francesca Jones. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a significant amount of volume is traded. Examining these differences can be insightful, as both represent probabilities assigned to the same event, but through different mechanisms. It's worth noting that the market can sometimes anticipate shifts in sportsbook odds.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Jones vs Barthel match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's likelihood. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Sep 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Jones vs Barthel match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the tournament organizers. The platform will verify the outcome against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at the time of resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 23, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to the Jones vs Barthel contest might also affect the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants could trigger price movements. Publicly available analysis from tennis experts and any shifts in betting odds from sportsbooks could also act as catalysts, influencing how traders assess the likelihood of each player winning the match.