TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 16, 11:19 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Alice Tubello will advance against Dalma Galfi in their scheduled tennis match in Ljubljana. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to Ljubljana: Alice Tubello vs Dalma Galfi. The resolution source for this market is the official WTA Tennis scores website at https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Keep an eye on the original match schedule, as this market will resolve based on the outcome of the match originally slated for September 16, 2026 at 7:00AM ET.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alice Tubello and Dalma Galfi in the Ljubljana, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alice Tubello' if Alice Tubello advances against Dalma Galfi. This market will resolve to 'Dalma Galfi' if Dalma Galfi advances against Alice Tubello. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If there's a significant discrepancy between the two, it might indicate that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular result. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but they are derived through different mechanisms and informed by different sources of information.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, reflecting the evolving consensus. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand for these shares, making it a dynamic representation of collective prediction.
This market resolves around Sep 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Alice Tubello vs Dalma Galfi match, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be entitled to a payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 23, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving either player could also impact the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media discussion, could lead to increased trading volume and price adjustments. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential movements in this market.