TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 27, 5:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alisa Oktiabreva and Oceane Dodin in the Livesport Prague Open, originally scheduled for July 20, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alisa Oktiabreva' if Alisa Oktiabreva advances against Oceane Dodin. This market will resolve to 'Oceane Dodin' if Oceane Dodin advances against Alisa Oktiabreva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alisa Oktiabreva and Oceane Dodin in the Livesport Prague Open, originally scheduled for July 20, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alisa Oktiabreva' if Alisa Oktiabreva advances against Oceane Dodin. This market will resolve to 'Oceane Dodin' if Oceane Dodin advances against Alisa Oktiabreva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets are driven by traders risking real capital on their beliefs. For this market, prediction market participants may price in longer-term player trajectory, injury updates, or head-to-head dynamics that sportsbooks adjust more slowly. Comparing the two can reveal where public perception and informed traders disagree, though both should converge as the match approaches and new information emerges.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that adjusts odds based on the volume and direction of trades. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell shares representing each outcome, and the price of each share reflects the collective probability estimate at any moment. The top outcome currently reflects strong consensus, though the exact price updates continuously as new trades flow in. This mechanism ensures transparent, real-time pricing without a traditional bookmaker setting fixed lines.
This market resolves around Jul 27, 2026, once the Livesport Prague Open match between the two players concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official tournament result—specifically, which player wins the match. No partial or conditional outcomes apply; the market simply confirms the winner once the match is complete and reported by reliable sports media or the tournament organizer. Early resolution is possible if the match is cancelled or withdrawn.
Several factors could shift odds before the match concludes. Player injury announcements, withdrawal, or illness would trigger sharp repricing. Recent tournament results or warm-up match performance by either player may prompt traders to reassess form and confidence. Court conditions, surface preference, or head-to-head history discussions in tennis media can influence sentiment. Betting syndicates or professional traders entering the market with large positions may also move prices. Any official tournament updates, scheduling changes, or credible player statements about fitness or readiness could catalyze meaningful volatility.