TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team, Liverpool or Tottenham, will advance in the Round 3 of the EFL Cup soccer tie. Currently, Kalshi gives Liverpool To Advance a 91.0% probability, while Tottenham To Advance is at 22.0%. The market resolves based on whether Liverpool advances past Tottenham, as determined by the outcome of the Liverpool vs Tottenham soccer tie, according to Kalshi. Keep an eye on the match result on September 15, 2026, as this date represents the resolution date for the market and will determine the final outcome.
If Liverpool advance past Tottenham in the Liverpool vs Tottenham soccer tie in the Round 3 of the EFL Cup, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tottenham advance past Liverpool in the Liverpool vs Tottenham soccer tie in the Round 3 of the EFL Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines that are heavily influenced by expert analysis and public perception. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like team news and historical data, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Over time, as more information becomes available and more traders participate, the odds on Kalshi may converge with or diverge from sportsbook odds, depending on how the collective sentiment evolves and how efficiently the market incorporates new data.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the Liverpool vs Tottenham match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand. This creates a real-time assessment of the likelihood of different results, driven by the collective intelligence of the traders.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Liverpool vs Tottenham match, as determined by the governing football authorities. The final score and any official rulings will be used to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual result. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could significantly influence this market leading up to Sep 15, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Liverpool or Tottenham would likely cause a shift in the odds. Unexpected team news, such as a change in formation or starting lineup, could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, any significant news regarding team morale, manager statements, or even weather conditions on match day could contribute to price movements in this market. Public opinion and media coverage can also play a role, although the market tends to be more driven by informed trading activity.