TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
LIV Golf United Kingdom End of Round 2 Leader
kalshi

Who will lead LIV Golf United Kingdom after Round 2?

Volume:
$13,374

Lucas Herbert

 - Kalshi

Lucas Herbert - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 24, 2026

Closed: Jul 24, 2:29 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Lucas Herbert

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,136
N/A
N/A
$3,706
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Bryson DeChambeau

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,357
N/A
N/A
$3,566
Settled
No
kalshi

Harold Varner III

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,226
N/A
N/A
$2,226
Settled
No
kalshi

Elvis Smylie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$281
N/A
N/A
$281
Settled
No
kalshi

Sam Horsfield

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$187
N/A
N/A
$187
Settled
No
kalshi

Martin Kaymer

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$187
N/A
N/A
$187
Settled
No
kalshi

Byeong Hun An

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Abraham Ancer

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Yosuke Asaji

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jose Luis Ballester

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Richard Bland

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Dean Burmester

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Ben Campbell

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Laurie Canter

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Paul Casey

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Thomas Detry

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Sergio Garcia

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Talor Gooch

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Branden Grace

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tyrrell Hatton

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Bjorn Hellgren

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Charles Howell III

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Dustin Johnson

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Anthony Kim

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Minkyu Kim

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 59

Description

This event determines who holds the lead after Round 2 of the 2026 LIV Golf United Kingdom tournament. The leader is the golfer with the lowest cumulative score through two rounds of play. If multiple golfers are tied for the lead, payouts are split equally among the tied outcomes.

Kalshi

Each golfer's market resolves to Yes if that player is the sole or tied leader at the end of Round 2 in the 2026 LIV Golf United Kingdom. If multiple participants are tied for the lead at the end of Round 2, Yes positions pay $1/N (rounded down to the nearest cent), where N is the number of tied participants, and No positions pay 1 minus the Yes payout. This equal-split mechanism ensures fair distribution of winnings among all tied leaders.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the LIV Golf UK Round 2 leader market dashboard displays real-time odds and historical price movements for predicting who will hold the lead after the second round concludes. The interface shows current trading activity, 24-hour volume of $12,635, and the probability implied by the market for each potential leader. Traders use this data to monitor shifting sentiment as tournament play unfolds and new information emerges about player performance.

Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader consensus and real-money conviction. Comparing the two can reveal where informed traders see value relative to conventional betting lines, though both respond to the same underlying event outcome.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each potential outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As new information surfaces—such as player injuries, weather updates, or live scoring—traders adjust their positions, causing prices to move in real time and the implied probabilities to shift accordingly.

This market resolves around Aug 9, 2026, once the second round of the LIV Golf UK event concludes and the leader is determined. The outcome is confirmed when the result is verifiable from credible public reporting of the tournament. At that point, traders holding shares in the correct outcome receive their payout, and the market settles based on the verified final standings.

Several factors can shift prices in this market before resolution. Live scoring updates and leaderboard changes during Round 2 play will trigger immediate repricing as traders react to real-time performance. Player withdrawals, injuries, or weather delays could also impact sentiment. Additionally, historical patterns from Round 1 and pre-tournament analysis may influence trader positioning. Breaking news about course conditions or unexpected player form changes can create sharp moves in the odds.