TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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LIV Golf: New York Individual Winner
kalshi
polymarket

LIV Golf: New York Individual Winner

Volume:
$36,270

Joaquin Niemann

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 10, 2026

Closed: Aug 8, 6:29 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Joaquin Niemann

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,190
N/A
N/A
$831
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Joaquin Niemann

View
100%
27%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Harold Varner III

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,826
N/A
N/A
$2,826
Settled
No
polymarket

Harold Varner III

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$117
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Sergio Garcia

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,040
N/A
N/A
$2,040
Settled
No
polymarket

Sergio Garcia

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,178
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ben Campbell

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,510
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Ben Campbell

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Adrian Meronk

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,500
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Adrian Meronk

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$101
N/A
N/A
$101
Settled
No
polymarket

Yosuke Asaji

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,467
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Yosuke Asaji

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12
N/A
N/A
$12
Settled
No
polymarket

Danny Lee

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,465
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Danny Lee

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$43
N/A
N/A
$43
Settled
No
polymarket

Bjoern Hellgren

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,405
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Bjorn Hellgren

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Anirban Lahiri

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,400
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Anirban Lahiri

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Min-Kyu Kim

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,378
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Minkyu Kim

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$31
N/A
N/A
$31
Settled
No
polymarket

Sam Horsfield

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,305
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Sam Horsfield

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$42
N/A
N/A
$42
Settled
No
polymarket

Graeme McDowell

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,300
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Graeme McDowell

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Do-Yeob Mun

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,299
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 131

Description

This group of markets predicts the winner of the 2026 LIV Golf New York Individual tournament. Markets exist for specific players winning the tournament, as well as markets for whether various players will lead after the third round.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi markets resolve based on official LIV Golf tournament results, with consistent tie-breaking rules and clear definitions for each market type.Primary resolution logic: Official results published by the LIV Golf website (https://www.livgolf.com/)

Core resolution logic:

  • Winner markets resolve to 'Yes' if the listed player wins the tournament per official results
  • Winner markets resolve to 'No' if the listed player is eliminated before the tournament conclusion
  • Winner markets resolve to 'Other' if an unlisted player wins or if no winner is announced by August 16, 2026
  • Round 3 leader markets resolve to 'Yes' if the listed player is the official leader after the third round

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Tie in Winner Market: Resolved to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically
  • No Winner Announced: All winner markets resolve to 'Other' if no winner is announced by August 16, 2026 at 11:59PM ET
  • Eliminated Player: Relevant market resolves immediately to 'No' if player is eliminated from contention per official rules
Timing: Winner markets resolve after official tournament conclusion or August 16, 2026. Round 3 leader markets resolve immediately after the third round concludes.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 New York Individual tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the New York Individual tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the New York Individual tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by LIV Golf official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by August 16, 2026 at 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the LIV Golf website (https://www.livgolf.com/).

Kalshi

Each market corresponds to an individual golfer, resolving to 'Yes' if that specific player is the sole leader at the end of Round 3 of the 2026 LIV Golf New York. If multiple players are tied for the lead, 'Yes' positions pay $1 divided by the number of tied leaders (rounded down), while 'No' positions receive the complement of that payout. The markets are independent, with each golfer’s outcome evaluated separately against the final leaderboard standings after Round 3.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the LIV Golf New York winner market aggregates data across multiple prediction platforms, showing real-time probabilities and volume for each potential champion. It tracks how trader sentiment evolves over time, reflecting shifts in expectations as the tournament progresses. By monitoring this market, users can see consensus views and compare them against actual performance metrics. The dashboard updates continuously, giving a clear picture of where the market stands relative to the short_topic and any emerging trends among participants.

On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can diverge because each platform attracts distinct trader bases and may update probabilities on different schedules. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. This often leads to variations in how quickly new information — like a player's injury status or practice round performance — is reflected in the odds. Additionally, liquidity differences affect price stability, so a large trade on one venue might shift its odds more dramatically than on the other.

Key signals that could shift this market include injury updates, weather delays, and performance in practice rounds. Any sudden change in a top contender's status — such as a strong qualifying performance or a major mistake — may cause rapid repricing. Additionally, betting patterns on platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi can amplify moves if large volumes enter one side, especially as the tournament approaches its final days.