TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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LIV Golf: Indianapolis Individual First Round Leader
kalshi
polymarket

LIV Golf: Indianapolis Individual First Round Leader

Volume:
$48,508

Laurie Canter

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 21, 2026

Closed: Aug 20, 10:39 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Laurie Canter

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,253
N/A
N/A
$3,253
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Laurie Canter

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Talor Gooch

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,976
N/A
N/A
$7,976
Settled
No
polymarket

Talor Gooch

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Bryson DeChambeau

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,850
N/A
N/A
$6,830
Settled
No
polymarket

Bryson DeChambeau

View
0%
39%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Joaquin Niemann

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,488
N/A
N/A
$4,468
Settled
No
polymarket

Joaquin Niemann

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Miguel Tabuena

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,097
N/A
N/A
$4,097
Settled
No
polymarket

Miguel Tabuena

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jon Rahm

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,729
N/A
N/A
$2,718
Settled
No
polymarket

Jon Rahm

View
0%
39%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Bubba Watson

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,421
N/A
N/A
$1,421
Settled
No
polymarket

Bubba Watson

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Lucas Herbert

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,388
N/A
N/A
$1,388
Settled
No
polymarket

Lucas Herbert

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Anthony Kim

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,215
N/A
N/A
$1,215
Settled
No
polymarket

Anthony Kim

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Danny Lee

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,149
N/A
N/A
$1,149
Settled
No
polymarket

Danny Lee

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Cameron Smith

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,108
N/A
N/A
$1,108
Settled
No
polymarket

Cameron Smith

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Lee Westwood

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,000
N/A
N/A
$1,000
Settled
No
polymarket

Lee Westwood

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Abraham Ancer

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,000
N/A
N/A
$1,000
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 129

Description

This event group covers markets predicting which golfer will lead after the first round of the 2026 LIV Golf Indianapolis tournament. Multiple platforms offer binary markets on individual players' chances to be the first-round leader.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms resolve based on the same core metric (lowest score to par after Round 1) with only tiebreaker differences that do not affect resolution for most participantsPrimary resolution logic: Official results published by the event organizer or governing body (LIV Golf)

Core resolution logic:

  • Identify the player(s) with the lowest cumulative score to par after completion of Round 1
  • For Polymarket: Apply sequential tiebreakers (back 9 score, eagles, birdies, bogeys, alphabetical order)
  • For Kalshi: Any listed player finishing in a tied first-place position resolves to Yes
  • If the event is canceled or postponed beyond September 6, 2026, resolve to "Other" (Polymarket) or remain unresolved per Kalshi terms

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement/Cancellation: If the tournament is canceled or officially postponed after September 6, 2026, Polymarket resolves to "Other" while Kalshi markets remain unresolved unless explicitly closed
  • Multiple Tied Leaders: Polymarket will select one winner via tiebreakers while Kalshi resolves Yes for all listed players who are among the tied leaders
Timing: Resolution occurs after official declaration of the Round 1 leader by LIV Golf, expected no later than September 6, 2026Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 Indianapolis Individual with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Indianapolis Individual is cancelled, postponed after September 6, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.

Kalshi

Each market corresponds to a specific golfer, resolving to 'Yes' if that golfer is the sole leader after Round 1. If multiple golfers are tied for the lead, 'Yes' positions pay $1 divided by the number of tied participants (rounded down), while 'No' positions receive the remainder of the payout pool. All markets are independent and resolve based solely on the final leaderboard positions after the first round, with no additional conditions or tiebreaker rules beyond the specified payout structure for shared leads.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the LIV Golf Indianapolis first round leader market aggregates real-time data from multiple platforms, showing how traders price the chances of different golfers taking the lead after the opening round. It displays current probabilities, volume of $48,508, and 24-hour volume of $31,077 across venues, giving you a live snapshot of consensus expectations for this market.