TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lithuania vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina
polymarket
kalshi

Lithuania vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina

Volume:
$354,522

Lithuania

 - Kalshi

Lithuania - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 1, 2026

Closed: Aug 31, 1:36 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Lithuania

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$174,803
N/A
N/A
$99,243
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Lithuania vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina

View
100%
54%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$20,111
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Bosnia & Herzegovina

View
0%
55%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$157,143
N/A
N/A
$71,067
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 161.5

View
0%
72%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,397
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Bosnia and Herzegovina (-5.5)

View
0%
98%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$68
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 5

Intro

This market tracks the winner of the FIBA World Cup Qualifiers basketball game between Lithuania and Bosnia and Herzegovina. The aggregated consensus probability for Lithuania to win stands at 100.0%. Data is drawn from Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolution based on official results from FIBA. The outcome will be confirmed at the end of the game window on August 31, 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental market structure divergence between team-name outcome market (Polymarket) and binary win market (Kalshi)Hero tip: Do not attempt cross-market arbitrage. Trade based on your view of which team will win, not on market structure differences. Consider each market independently.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to Lithuania if Lithuania wins, Bosnia and Herzegovina if they win, 50-50 split if canceled with no makeup game
  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if either team wins the game, regardless of which team wins
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Europe game, scheduled for August 31 at 6:00AM ET: If the Lithuania win, the market will resolve to "Lithuania". If the Bosnia and Herzegovina win, the market will resolve to "Bosnia and Herzegovina". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

Markets resolve based on the winning team in the FIBA World Cup Qualifiers basketball game scheduled for August 31, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the original time, markets will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks are property of their respective owners.