TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 9:19 AM EST
Kalshi
The match between Lithuania and Azerbaijan will determine whether more than zero goals are scored within regular time, excluding extra time or penalties.
All markets resolve based on the total goals scored in the Lithuania vs Azerbaijan UEFA Nations League game scheduled for September 27, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty goals are excluded. Each market has a different threshold for goals, ranging from over 0.5 to over 5.5 goals. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. As more information becomes available – such as team news or weather forecasts – the prediction market prices tend to adjust rapidly, potentially offering a more accurate reflection of the true probability of different outcomes than traditional sportsbooks. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a significant amount of trading volume occurs.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes – in this case, the total number of goals scored. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As traders exchange positions, the prices fluctuate, providing a dynamic assessment of the likely result. The market depth, visible on the dashboard, shows the available buy and sell orders at various price points, indicating the level of demand and supply for each outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Lithuania vs Azerbaijan match, as officially recorded by the governing football association, will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the final scoreline, including any goals scored during regular time or added time, but excluding penalty shootouts. Traders will be able to view the official result on Kalshi once it is available.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Lithuania or Azerbaijan would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also move the market. Unexpected lineup announcements or tactical changes revealed before the match could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, significant betting activity from large traders on Kalshi could also create noticeable price movements as they adjust their positions.