TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 9:28 AM EST
Kalshi
This event involves a national team competition where two teams compete in a match. The focus is on whether both teams manage to score during the regular period of play, including any added stoppage time. The outcome depends solely on the performance of the teams within the standard match duration.
If Lithuania and Azerbaijan both score a goal in the Lithuania vs Azerbaijan UEFA Nations League match originally scheduled for Sep 27, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, like others on Kalshi, allows traders to express their own informed opinions, potentially leading to odds that more accurately reflect the true probability of both teams scoring. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of trading activity as new information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of both teams scoring in the Lithuania vs Azerbaijan match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective beliefs of all participants, providing a real-time assessment of the likelihood of a BTTS outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Lithuania and Azerbaijan score at least one goal during the match. Official match data will be used to determine if both teams have scored, and this information will be verified against credible public sources. The final result will then be used to settle all outstanding contracts on Kalshi.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Lithuania or Azerbaijan would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected lineup announcements or pre-match analysis suggesting a change in attacking strategy could also cause the odds to move. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large volume trades on Kalshi itself can also drive price fluctuations.