TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Lithuania vs. Azerbaijan
kalshi
predict
polymarket

What is the result of Lithuania vs. Azerbaijan?

Volume:
$1,231,390

Tie

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 27, 2026

Closed: Sep 27, 10:54 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$259,043
N/A
N/A
$191,784
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Lithuania vs. Azerbaijan)

View
100%
69%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$37,868
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Draw

View
99%
67%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$16,523
$50,690
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

LIT

View
1%
38%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$220
$49,034
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Lithuania

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$337,124
N/A
N/A
$195,710
Settled
No
polymarket

Lithuania

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$142,250
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

AZE

View
1%
29%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$215
$36,906
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Azerbaijan

View
0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$206,818
N/A
N/A
$127,399
Settled
No
polymarket

Azerbaijan

View
0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$111,657
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market tracks the likelihood of a draw in the Lithuania versus Azerbaijan UEFA Nations League soccer match scheduled for September 27, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of a draw is 100.0%, aggregating views from Kalshi, Predict, and Polymarket. Resolution will be based on official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (UEFA). Keep an eye on the match itself on September 27, 2026, to see if this consensus holds as the game progresses.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms use the same core logic for determining the winner and draw, relying on official match statistics and a defined fallback hierarchy.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (UEFA).

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • If the game is postponed, the market remains open until completion.
  • If the game is canceled, win markets resolve to 'No' and draw markets resolve to 'Yes'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, Flashscore data will be used, followed by Sofascore, and then a consensus of credible reporting. If no data is available within 24 hours, the market will resolve 50-50 (or to 'Draw' where applicable).
Timing: Resolution will occur within 24 hours of the match's conclusion, or as soon as official statistics are available, whichever is sooner.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Sunday, September 27, 2026 between Lithuania and Azerbaijan.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the Lithuania vs Azerbaijan UEFA Nations League soccer match scheduled for September 27, 2026. If Lithuania wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the 'Lithuania' market resolves to Yes. If Azerbaijan wins under the same conditions, the 'Azerbaijan' market resolves to Yes. If the match concludes in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Cancellation or rescheduling beyond 48 hours leads to a fair price resolution. The markets are determined solely by the match's result after normal time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Sunday, September 27, 2026 between Lithuania and Azerbaijan.

Frequently asked questions

On PredictionHero, this dashboard aggregates forecasts from multiple prediction markets, including Polymarket and Kalshi, to provide a consensus view on the outcome of the Lithuania vs. Azerbaijan match. Currently, the combined volume across these platforms is $1,231,390, with $1,139,119 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a broader understanding of expectations than looking at any single platform in isolation. The dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes, offering a weighted average based on trading activity on each venue. This provides a comprehensive overview of where the crowd believes the match is headed.

Prediction market odds, like those displayed for this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while prediction markets are driven by actual money on the line. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when subjective factors or information not yet fully incorporated into sportsbook models come into play. However, both aim to accurately predict the probability of an event, and both can be valuable tools for informed decision-making. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks.