TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 13, 10:11 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Cincinnati will win the upcoming Pro Football game against Detroit. The aggregated consensus probability for Cincinnati winning stands at 94.0%, drawing data from Kalshi, Polymarket, and Predict, with resolution based on official NFL game results. The outcome will be determined by the official result of the game scheduled for August 13, 2026, so keep an eye on that date for resolution.
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for August 13 at 7:00PM ET: If Lions wins, the market will resolve to "Lions". If Bengals wins, the market will resolve to "Bengals". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution is based on the official final result of the Detroit vs Cincinnati professional football game originally scheduled for August 13, 2026. If the game ends in a tie, both outcomes resolve to $0.50. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the originally scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the original scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair market price.
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for August 13 at 7:00PM ET: If Lions wins, the market will resolve to "Lions". If Bengals wins, the market will resolve to "Bengals". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through trader activity, often reflecting sharper or earlier shifts than traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks incorporate additional factors like public betting trends and commission margins, prediction markets let participants bet directly on their outlook. The gap can widen when event momentum changes rapidly, making this market a useful leading indicator of crowd-sourced expectations.
On Polymarket and Kalshi, pricing can diverge due to differences in user bases, liquidity, and fee structures. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, one platform might attract more sharp traders early, while the other reflects broader public sentiment. These dynamics create temporary mispricings, allowing savvy participants to spot arbitrage or directional bets as probabilities evolve toward the game’s outcome.
Injuries, weather forecasts, and coaching strategies often shift this market close to game day. Key practices, star player status updates, and even betting volume spikes on either platform can create momentum swings. Traders watch Polymarket and Kalshi for early signals, as price action often precedes major news cycles or last-minute lineup changes.