TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Missouri St.
- Kalshi
Missouri St. - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 13, 2026
Closed: Sep 12, 10:30 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event group concerns the outcome of the college football game between Lindenwood University and Missouri State University, scheduled for September 12th. Markets will resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for overtime, ties, postponements, and cancellations.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue: Kalshi defines 'Yes' as either team winning, while Polymarket and Predict define resolution based on the specific winning team.Hero tip: Be mindful of the differing resolution criteria. Kalshi's market is a 'game happens' market, while Polymarket and Predict are standard win/loss markets.Critical divergence points:
- Polymarket: Resolves to Lindenwood if Lindenwood wins, and to Missouri State if Missouri State wins. Includes overtime. Tie resolves 50-50. Postponement holds open until completion. Cancellation resolves 50-50. "This market will resolve to "Lindenwood" if Lindenwood win the game. This market will resolve to "Missouri State" if Missouri State win the game."
- Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if either Missouri State or Lindenwood wins the game. "If Missouri St. wins...market resolves to Yes. If Lindenwood wins...market resolves to Yes."
Polymarket
In the upcoming college football game between Lindenwood and Missouri State, scheduled for September 12 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Lindenwood" if Lindenwood win the game. This market will resolve to "Missouri State" if Missouri State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Kalshi
The market resolves to Yes for the respective outcome market if the indicated team wins the game. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the original scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Predict
In the upcoming college football game between Lindenwood and Missouri State, scheduled for September 12 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Lindenwood" if Lindenwood win the game. This market will resolve to "Missouri State" if Missouri State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect a decentralized crowd-sourced assessment of probabilities, while sportsbooks incorporate their own margins and professional handicapping. In this market, the crowd may price in different factors such as recent team performance or injuries before sportsbooks adjust. Traders should compare both to spot potential value gaps, as prediction markets can react faster to new data.
On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary due to differences in user bases, liquidity, and trading mechanics. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For instance, one platform might attract more casual traders who react swiftly to news, while the other could have deeper institutional participation, leading to more stable pricing. Additionally, each venue sets its own rules for how contracts are settled, which can influence listed probabilities.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or weather conditions that affect gameplay could all shift this market. Also, high-profile performances in preceding games or media narratives influencing public perception may cause rapid re-pricing. Traders should watch official team announcements and pre-game betting trends for early warning signs of market movement.
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