Lindenwood Lions vs. Western Illinois Leathernecks
Volume:
$27,333
Markets
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Lindenwood Lions and Western Illinois Leathernecks scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), multiple point spreads (-10.5, -11.5, -12.5), and total points over/under (148.5, 149.5, 150.5).
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Lindenwood win and Western Illinois win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market in its current form. The resolution logic is broken. All Polymarket markets (moneyline, spreads, totals) are internally consistent and safe to trade. Verify game results against NCAA.com official final scores including overtime.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to team name of winner; spreads require margin thresholds (11+, 12+, or 13+ points); totals require combined score thresholds (149+, 150+, or 151+ points). All use NCAA.com as source with 50-50 cancellation clause. Key Quote: 'The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.'
Kalshi: Moneyline market states both 'If Lindenwood wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Western Illinois wins...resolves to Yes', creating a logical impossibility where every game outcome produces the same resolution. This is a data entry or specification error. Key Quote: Both winning conditions map identically to Yes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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