TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
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$134,145,987
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2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 11:25 AM EST
Kalshi
Lincoln and Swansea will compete in the EFL Championship on September 19, 2026, with attention on their forward lines. Success in this market requires both clubs to score at least one goal during the 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time added by the referee.
If Lincoln and Swansea both score a goal in the Lincoln vs Swansea EFL Championship match originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks may set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but are also influenced by factors like public betting patterns and risk management. This market, like others on Kalshi, allows traders to incorporate a wider range of information, potentially leading to odds that more accurately predict the actual outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on team form, injuries, or even less quantifiable factors like team morale.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of both teams scoring in the Lincoln vs Swansea match. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective belief about that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect new information and changing sentiment. Essentially, the market price represents the cost to take a position on whether both teams will score, and fluctuates based on supply and demand for that contract.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Lincoln and Swansea score at least one goal during the match. Official match data will be used to determine if both teams have scored, and that information will be used to settle the contracts. The final result will be based on the official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 19, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Lincoln or Swansea would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also shift expectations. Even tactical announcements from the managers, like a change in formation or starting lineup, might cause traders to reassess the probability of both teams scoring. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role, potentially affecting the style of play and goal-scoring opportunities.