TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 9:31 AM EST
Kalshi
This event concerns the EFL Championship encounter between Lincoln and Southampton on September 5, 2026, focusing on whether both sides find the back of the net during the standard match duration.
If Lincoln and Southampton both score a goal in the Lincoln vs Southampton EFL Championship match originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing the probability of both teams scoring, the price here will move accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams' form and potential for goals. It's common to see this market diverge from initial sportsbook offerings.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of both teams scoring in the Lincoln vs Southampton match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Lincoln and Southampton score at least one goal during the match. If both teams find the back of the net, the market will settle in favor of 'Yes'; otherwise, it will settle as 'No'. The result will be determined by official match data, and any disputes will be handled according to Kalshi’s standard procedures.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 5, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Lincoln or Southampton would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected lineup announcements or pre-match analysis highlighting a team’s attacking prowess could also drive price movement. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market.