TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 24, 11:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Coleman Wong and Spencer Johnson in the Lincoln, originally scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Coleman Wong' if Coleman Wong advances against Spencer Johnson. This market will resolve to 'Spencer Johnson' if Spencer Johnson advances against Coleman Wong. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Coleman Wong and Spencer Johnson in the Lincoln, originally scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Coleman Wong' if Coleman Wong advances against Spencer Johnson. This market will resolve to 'Spencer Johnson' if Spencer Johnson advances against Coleman Wong. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by traders seeking profit through accurate forecasting. This market's odds may lead or lag traditional sportsbook lines depending on which venue attracts sharper early information. Comparing the two can reveal where smart money is positioning itself ahead of the event.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that adjusts odds continuously as traders place bets on each outcome. The price of each share reflects the collective belief of all participants about the fight's result. As new information emerges or trading volume shifts, the odds update in real time, ensuring the market price stays responsive to changing sentiment and available evidence.
This market resolves around Jul 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner will be determined by the official result of the fight, verified against established sports news sources and boxing records. Once the bout concludes and the result is publicly confirmed, the market will settle accordingly, paying out shares held by those who correctly predicted the outcome.
Several factors can shift odds before the fight takes place. Injury announcements, training camp reports, or changes to fighter weight or conditioning could trigger significant repricing. Media coverage, expert analysis, and public betting patterns all influence trader sentiment. Weigh-in results, last-minute venue or rule changes, and any official statements from either fighter's camp may also move this market. Social media momentum and shifts in public perception can amplify volatility as the event date approaches.