TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 1:52 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Lincoln City FC and Swansea City AFC, scheduled for September 19, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Lincoln City FC" if Lincoln City FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Swansea City AFC" if Swansea City AFC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Lincoln City FC and Swansea City AFC, scheduled for September 19, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Lincoln City FC" if Lincoln City FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Swansea City AFC" if Swansea City AFC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis that may not be immediately priced into traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks establish initial odds based on statistical models and expert opinions, this market allows anyone to participate and express their beliefs, potentially leading to different probabilities. Discrepancies can arise from differing opinions on team form, potential injuries, or even weather conditions. It's common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information than sportsbooks, as traders continuously update their assessments.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular team scoring first, the price of those shares increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as new information becomes available and traders update their predictions, creating a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each team taking the lead.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the Lincoln City vs Swansea match. The official match records will serve as the definitive source for determining the winning outcome. Any disputes regarding the result will be evaluated based on publicly available and widely accepted match data, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Lincoln City or Swansea would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, like heavy rain or strong winds, might also play a role, potentially favoring a particular team's playing style. Finally, any pre-match announcements regarding tactical changes or starting lineups could move this market.