TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lillestrøm SK vs. Viking FK - First Team to Score
polymarket
kalshi

Which team will score first: Lillestrøm SK or Viking FK?

Volume:
$44,916

Viking wins by more than 2.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Viking wins by more than 2.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 23, 2026

Closed: Jul 22, 2:57 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Viking wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,773
N/A
N/A
$7,056
Settled
No
kalshi

Viking wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,806
N/A
N/A
$6,267
Settled
No
kalshi

Lillestroem wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,143
N/A
N/A
$11,347
Settled
No
kalshi

Lillestroem wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$744
N/A
N/A
$686
Settled
No
polymarket

Neither

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$450
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Lillestrøm SK

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Viking FK

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 7

Description

This event group covers two distinct market types for the Lillestrøm SK vs. Viking FK match scheduled for July 22, 2026: Polymarket offers a 'First Team to Score' market with three outcomes (Lillestrøm, Viking, or Neither), while Kalshi offers four separate goal-margin markets (Lillestrøm >2.5, Lillestrøm >1.5, Viking >1.5, Viking >2.5). These are fundamentally different event types with no direct logical overlap.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi are pricing fundamentally different outcomes (first-to-score vs. goal-margin thresholds) for the same match. While both reference the same 90-minute + stoppage-time window, the resolution logic and settlement values are independent and non-overlapping.Hero tip: These are two separate markets with different resolution pathways. Polymarket resolves on first-scorer outcome with explicit 2-hour official source deadline; Kalshi resolves on final scoreline margin with no stated source hierarchy. Monitor each independently and do not assume one outcome predicts the other.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: First-to-score market with three outcomes (Lillestrøm / Viking / Neither). Resolution source is official governing body statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, or credible reporting consensus if official stats unavailable. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation resolves to Neither. Key Quote: 'This market will resolve to Lillestrøm SK if Lillestrøm SK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.'
  • Kalshi: Four separate goal-margin markets (Lillestrøm >2.5, Lillestrøm >1.5, Viking >1.5, Viking >2.5). Each resolves Yes if the specified margin is achieved at 90 minutes + stoppage time. No explicit resolution source hierarchy provided. Key Quote: 'If Lillestroem wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Lillestroem vs Viking professional Eliteserien soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 22, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between Lillestrøm SK and Viking FK, scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Lillestrøm SK" if Lillestrøm SK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Viking FK" if Viking FK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Kalshi

The spread market for Lillestroem vs Viking measures the final goal differential after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Lillestroem wins by more than 1.5 goals if their final score exceeds Viking's by at least two goals. Lillestroem wins by more than 2.5 goals if their final score exceeds Viking's by at least three goals. Conversely, Viking wins by more than 1.5 goals if their final score exceeds Lillestroem's by at least two goals, and Viking wins by more than 2.5 goals if their final score exceeds Lillestroem's by at least three goals. These outcomes are mutually exclusive based on the final match result.

Frequently asked questions

The first goal scorer market aggregates trader predictions across Polymarket and Kalshi on which team will score first in the Lillestrøm SK versus Viking FK match. This market reflects real-time consensus from thousands of participants placing capital on their forecasts. The dashboard displays current odds, trading volume, and historical price movements, giving you a transparent view of how the crowd is positioning ahead of kickoff. By tracking this market across multiple venues, you can spot divergences in pricing and identify where informed traders are concentrating their bets.

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they operate on distinct mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are driven by supply and demand from traders betting real money. Prediction markets often reflect sharper, more dynamic pricing because participants face direct financial incentive to identify mispricing. For this match, comparing the odds here to your preferred sportsbook can reveal value opportunities. Many traders use both venues to arbitrage small differences or validate their own edge.

Key catalysts include official team lineups, injury reports, and weather conditions at match time. If either team's star striker is ruled out, odds will shift immediately. Recent form, head-to-head history, and tactical adjustments announced by managers can also trigger repricing. Breaking news about suspensions or last-minute roster changes will move the market sharply. As kickoff approaches, late money often flows toward one side, creating momentum. Monitor social media, official team channels, and sports news outlets for updates that could swing trader sentiment before the match begins.