TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 18, 10:00 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Norway Eliteserien game between Lillestrøm SK and KFUM-Kameratene Oslo, scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Lillestrøm SK" if Lillestrøm SK score more goals than KFUM-Kameratene Oslo in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Lillestrøm SK and KFUM-Kameratene Oslo score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "KFUM-Kameratene Oslo" if KFUM-Kameratene Oslo score more goals than Lillestrøm SK in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Norway Eliteserien game between Lillestrøm SK and KFUM-Kameratene Oslo, scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Lillestrøm SK" if Lillestrøm SK score more goals than KFUM-Kameratene Oslo in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Lillestrøm SK and KFUM-Kameratene Oslo score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "KFUM-Kameratene Oslo" if KFUM-Kameratene Oslo score more goals than Lillestrøm SK in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets aggregate the collective beliefs of traders risking real capital. This market may show tighter or wider spreads than sportsbooks depending on liquidity and trader conviction. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus is strongest or where sharp traders see value, though prediction markets tend to be more efficient at incorporating late-breaking information closer to kickoff.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds through an automated market maker that adjusts prices based on order flow and available liquidity. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The cost to buy a share reflecting a specific outcome rises as more traders purchase it, and falls as sellers exit positions. This continuous repricing mechanism ensures the market remains responsive to new information and trader sentiment. Prices converge toward the true probability as the match approaches, with the most liquid outcomes typically showing the tightest bid-ask spreads and fastest execution.
This market resolves around Jul 18, 2026, once the second half result is final and verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official match result recorded by the relevant football authority. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as odds fluctuate. Resolution happens automatically once the event concludes and the data is confirmed, at which time winning positions are paid out and losing positions expire worthless.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes announced before kickoff. First-half performance heavily influences second-half expectations, so early goals, red cards, or tactical shifts can trigger sharp repricing. Weather conditions, crowd momentum, and managerial substitutions during the match all feed into trader recalibration. Late-breaking betting syndicate activity or sharp money entering the market can also accelerate price movement. Traders monitor live commentary and social media for emerging information that might alter the probability of each outcome.