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5

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Lille OSC vs. Stade Brestois 29
kalshi
polymarket

Lille OSC vs. Stade Brestois 29

Volume:
$2,285,789

Tie

 - Kalshi

Tie - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 15, 2026

Closed: Feb 14, 4:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
-$14,803
$140,996
N/A
N/A
$78,219
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Lille

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$19,959
$192,439
N/A
N/A
$127,409
Settled
No
kalshi

Stade Brest 29

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$50,817
$129,068
N/A
N/A
$55,150
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Lille OSC vs. Stade Brestois 29)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$66,333
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Lille OSC

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,648,057
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Stade Brestois 29

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$108,896
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the Ligue 1 soccer match between Lille OSC and Stade Brestois 29 scheduled for February 14, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket track the final outcome (win/loss/draw) measured at 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi defines all three mutually exclusive outcomes to resolve to Yes, creating a logical contradiction that makes the market non-falsifiable and unresolvable. Polymarket uses three separate binary markets with proper exclusive outcomes.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi's market as written—it cannot be settled. Polymarket's three binary markets (Draw, Lille Win, Stade Brest Win) are logically sound and mutually exclusive. Confirm Kalshi's actual terms with the platform immediately.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Market structure defines all three outcomes (Tie, Lille win, Stade Brest win) to resolve to Yes. This is a logical contradiction—a single game cannot simultaneously end in a tie, a Lille win, and a Stade Brest win. The market cannot be falsified and is unresolvable.
  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive outcomes: Draw market (Yes if tie, No otherwise), Lille market (Yes if Lille wins, No otherwise), Stade Brest market (Yes if Stade Brest wins, No otherwise). Cancellation with no makeup resolves Draw to Yes, others to No.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.