TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Lille OSC vs. Stade Brestois 29
Volume:
$2,285,789
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Ligue 1 soccer match between Lille OSC and Stade Brestois 29 scheduled for February 14, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket track the final outcome (win/loss/draw) measured at 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi defines all three mutually exclusive outcomes to resolve to Yes, creating a logical contradiction that makes the market non-falsifiable and unresolvable. Polymarket uses three separate binary markets with proper exclusive outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's market as written—it cannot be settled. Polymarket's three binary markets (Draw, Lille Win, Stade Brest Win) are logically sound and mutually exclusive. Confirm Kalshi's actual terms with the platform immediately.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Market structure defines all three outcomes (Tie, Lille win, Stade Brest win) to resolve to Yes. This is a logical contradiction—a single game cannot simultaneously end in a tie, a Lille win, and a Stade Brest win. The market cannot be falsified and is unresolvable.
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive outcomes: Draw market (Yes if tie, No otherwise), Lille market (Yes if Lille wins, No otherwise), Stade Brest market (Yes if Stade Brest wins, No otherwise). Cancellation with no makeup resolves Draw to Yes, others to No.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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