TOTAL VOLUME:

$61.7b

24H VOL:

$229,178,007

24H TRANSACTIONS:

600,069,390

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,336,753,738

577,196

Markets across

14,485

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,077

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

50%

VS.

Kalshi:

50%

BETA
kalshi
polymarket
Trending
Sports

Lille OSC vs. FC Nantes? Odds & Prediction Markets

Volume:
$1,208,152
PredictionHero
Lille OSC 100%
polymarket
Draw (Lille OSC vs. FC Nantes) 0%
polymarket
FC Nantes 0%
polymarket
Feb 2026Feb 2026Feb 2026Feb 2026Feb 2026Feb 2026Feb 2026Feb 2026Feb 2026Feb 2026Feb 2026Feb 2026Feb 2026Feb 2026Mar 2026Jun…020406080100

Closed: Mar 1, 11:15 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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Description

This event group covers the Lille OSC vs. FC Nantes Ligue 1 match scheduled for March 1, 2026. Kalshi offers four markets focused on goal-differential thresholds (>1.5 and >2.5 goals for each team), while Polymarket offers three binary markets on match outcome (Lille win, draw, Nantes win). The core resolution window is identical across all markets: 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue:

Kalshi uses goal-differential thresholds (>1.5 and >2.5 goals) as settlement criteria, while Polymarket uses binary match outcomes (win/loss/draw). Both reference the same match and time window, but the underlying settlement logic and market structure are fundamentally different product types.

Hero Tip:

Understand that Kalshi and Polymarket are not offering competing bets on the same outcome. Kalshi markets reward you for predicting goal margins; Polymarket markets reward you for predicting the winner. A Lille 3-0 victory satisfies both Kalshi's >2.5-goal threshold and Polymarket's Lille-win market, but they are distinct settlement architectures. Cross-platform correlation exists only where goal margins align with match outcomes.

Critical Divergence Points:

  • Kalshi:

    Four markets based on goal-differential thresholds. Resolves Yes if Lille wins by >2.5 goals, Lille wins by >1.5 goals, Nantes wins by >2.5 goals, or Nantes wins by >1.5 goals. Multiple markets can resolve Yes simultaneously. Key quote: 'If Lille wins by more than 2.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes.'

  • Polymarket:

    Three mutually exclusive binary outcome markets: Lille win, draw, or Nantes win. Exactly one resolves Yes. Key quote: 'If Lille OSC wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.