TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$244,265,276
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,349,697,137
578,254
Markets across
14,382
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,099
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Europa League soccer match between Lille OSC and Aston Villa FC scheduled for March 12, 2026. Three markets across Polymarket and Kalshi track the three possible outcomes: Lille win, Aston Villa win, or draw, all evaluated at 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Polymarket and Kalshi markets are logically consistent in scope, timing window, and resolution hierarchy, with only minor phrasing differences in edge case handling that do not create material divergence.
Primary resolution logic:
UEFA official statistics and match records; credible reporting consensus if official statistics unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusionCore resolution logic:
- Match outcome determined after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalties are excluded
- Three mutually exclusive outcomes: Lille OSC win, Aston Villa FC win, or draw
- If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed
- If match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, Lille win and Aston Villa win markets resolve to No; draw market resolves to Yes
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is actually played and completed
- Cancellation without makeup: If the match is canceled with no makeup game, Lille win resolves No, Aston Villa win resolves No, and draw resolves Yes
- Official statistics delay: If UEFA or event organizers do not publish final match statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, resolution may use consensus of credible reporting sources
- Scope of play: Resolution is based strictly on the outcome within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time; knockout stage extra time or penalty shootouts do not apply to these markets
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes on March 12, 2026, following 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Official statistics or credible consensus must be established within 2 hours of match conclusion for immediate resolution.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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