TOTAL VOLUME:

$143b

24H VOL:

$111,424,783

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,661,467,257

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,630,632,565

494,234

Markets across

37,330

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,871

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Sports
Ligue 1: 2027 Champion
polymarket
kalshi
limitless
predict

Who will win Ligue 1?

Total volume:
$5,607,958
Volume 24h:
$1,222,221N/A
Liquidity:
$4,652,291
0.54%
Open interest:
$27,506
3%

PSG

all

4 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict

Limitless

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jun 15, 2027

Will PSG win the 2026-27 Ligue 1?

89%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 88¢ buys you 114 shares | Odds: 89% Total Payout: $114 | Net Profit: $14 Multiplier: 1.14x | ROI: 14% | APY: 23% 225 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

PSG

Trade
89%
Yes 88¢No 15¢
3¢
N/A
$11,503
0.31%
4%
$7,147
7mo 2w 1d
active
polymarket

Paris Saint-Germain

87%
Yes 87¢No 14¢
1¢
$320,466
$166,536
0.12%
3%
N/A
8mo 1d
active
predict

Paris Saint-Germain

84%
Yes 85¢No 17.5¢
2.5¢
$251,081
$220,373
1%
13%
N/A
7mo 2w 2d
active
limitless

Paris Saint-Germain

N/A
N/A
3¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
7mo 2w 2d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
85%
Yes 86.7¢No 15.5¢
Avg: 2.4¢Max: 3¢
kalshi

Monaco

5%
1%
Yes 5¢No 96¢
1¢
N/A
$14,553
2%
22%
$7,901
7mo 2w 1d
active
predict

Monaco

5%
Yes 4.9¢No 96¢
0.9¢
$172,327
$174,729
0.02%
10%
N/A
7mo 2w 2d
active
polymarket

Monaco

4%
Yes 4.3¢No 95.8¢
0.1¢
$49,478
$57,795
0.12%
11%
N/A
8mo 1d
active
limitless

Monaco

4%
Yes 4.3¢No 95.8¢
2.5¢
N/A
$40
0%
0%
N/A
7mo 2w 2d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
4.5%
Yes 4.6¢No 95.9¢
Avg: 1.1¢Max: 2.5¢
kalshi

Lille

3%
Yes 3¢No 99¢
2¢
N/A
$4,076
0%
5%
$2,078
7mo 2w 1d
active
polymarket

Lille

3%
Yes 2.7¢No 97.7¢
0.4¢
$45,422
$44,606
0%
7%
N/A
8mo 1d
active
predict

Lille

2%
Yes 2.4¢No 98¢
0.4¢
$163,796
$493,484
0%
12%
N/A
7mo 2w 2d
active
limitless

Lille

N/A
N/A
2¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
7mo 2w 2d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
2.2%
Yes 2.7¢No 98.2¢
Avg: 1.2¢Max: 2¢
kalshi

Lyon

2%
Yes 3¢No 99¢
2¢
N/A
$4,879
0%
2%
$2,221
7mo 2w 1d
active
predict

Lyon

2%
Yes 1.8¢No 98.5¢
0.3¢
$163,049
$485,067
0%
47%
N/A
7mo 2w 2d
active
polymarket

Lyon

2%
Yes 1.7¢No 98.4¢
0.1¢
$60,469
$58,640
0%
18%
N/A
8mo 1d
active
limitless

Lyon

N/A
N/A
2¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
7mo 2w 2d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
1.7%
Yes 2.2¢No 98.6¢
Avg: 1.1¢Max: 2¢
polymarket

Lens

2%
Yes 2.2¢No 98.2¢
0.4¢
$43,854
$83,412
0.01%
7%
N/A
8mo 1d
active
predict

Lens

1%
Yes 1.3¢No 99¢
0.3¢
$230,281
$479,922
0%
10%
N/A
7mo 2w 2d
active
kalshi

Lens

1%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$3,049
0%
0%
$2,160
7mo 2w 1d
active
limitless

Lens

N/A
N/A
2.5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
7mo 2w 2d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
1.3%
Yes 1.8¢No 98.7¢
Avg: 1.1¢Max: 2.5¢
polymarket

Marseille

2%
Yes 1.7¢No 98.5¢
0.2¢
$47,576
$59,254
0.01%
14%
N/A
8mo 1d
active
predict

Marseille

1%
Yes 1.2¢No 99.2¢
0.4¢
$145,059
$249,688
0.67%
51%
N/A
7mo 2w 2d
active
kalshi

Marseille

1%
Yes 4¢No 100¢
4¢
N/A
$1,395
0%
0.71%
$1,121
7mo 2w 1d
active
limitless

Marseille

N/A
N/A
2.3¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
7mo 2w 2d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
1.1%
Yes 2.3¢No 99.2¢
Avg: 1.7¢Max: 4¢
kalshi

Stade Rennes

16%
Yes 4¢No 99¢
3¢
N/A
$1,472
0%
0%
$1,439
7mo 2w 1d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
1.1%
Yes 4¢No 99¢
Avg: 3¢Max: 3¢
Total markets: 25 of 60

Intro

This market tracks which team will win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship, France’s top professional football league. Currently, Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless, and Predict traders collectively assign an 89.0% probability to Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) winning the title. Resolution will be based on the official Ligue 1 standings and announcements. Keep an eye on the final matchday of the season, scheduled for around June 15, 2027, as results will determine the champion and finalize market settlement.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms consistently define resolution based on the official Ligue 1 champion, with a shared contingency for cancellation/postponement and disqualification.Primary resolution logic: Official Ligue 1 standings and announcements

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves to the team that finishes first in the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season.
  • If a team is mathematically eliminated from contention, its corresponding market resolves to 'No'.
  • If the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season is cancelled or postponed past June 14, 2027, the market resolves to 'Other'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Tiebreakers: In the event of a tie for first place, the official Ligue 1 tiebreaker rules will be used to determine the champion, and the market will resolve accordingly.
  • Disqualifications: If a team is disqualified from the league during the season, its corresponding market will resolve to 'No'.
Timing: The market will resolve after the official conclusion of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season, but no later than June 15, 2027.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship per the rules of Ligue 1 (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from Ligue 1; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

Each market corresponds to one of the eligible teams competing in the 2026-2027 Ligue 1 season. A market resolves to Yes if and only if the corresponding team finishes the 2026-2027 Ligue 1 season as the league champion. The champion is determined by the official Ligue 1 standings at the conclusion of the season, following all regular season matches and the application of any official tiebreaker rules. Exactly one team will be crowned champion, and therefore exactly one market will resolve to Yes while all others resolve to No. Resolution is based on the final official determination by Ligue 1 governing authorities.

Predict

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship per the rules of Ligue 1 (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from Ligue 1; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Limitless

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship per the rules of Ligue 1 (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from Ligue 1; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates real-time predictions on the Ligue 1 championship race from multiple platforms, currently Polymarket and Kalshi. It displays a consensus view of who is favored to win, based on the combined volume of $5,607,958 and 24-hour volume of $6,697. On Polymarket, the current implied probability of the leading outcome is 86.5%, while Kalshi shows 89.0% for its most likely outcome. This allows for a comprehensive understanding of market sentiment regarding the upcoming Ligue 1 season.

Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective intelligence of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Typically, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional betting markets, especially when there's significant public interest. However, sportsbooks may offer more favorable odds on certain outcomes, depending on their risk assessment and customer base. The spread between the two can sometimes be as much as 2.5 percentage points.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and liquidity levels. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Furthermore, differing market makers and trading strategies employed on each platform can influence price discovery. Currently, Polymarket favors Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? at 86.5%, while Kalshi leans toward Will PSG win the 2026-27 Ligue 1? at 89.0%, demonstrating this dynamic. These differences highlight the value of aggregating data across multiple sources to gain a more complete picture of potential outcomes.

This market resolves around Jun 15, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning team of the 2027 Ligue 1 season, as officially declared by the Ligue de Football Professionnel (LFP), will determine the outcome. The market will settle to 100% for the winning team and 0% for all other teams. Traders should monitor official LFP announcements for the final standings and confirmation of the champion.

Numerous events could significantly impact this market. Major player transfers, managerial changes, and injuries to key players will all influence predictions. Unexpected team form during the season, particularly strong or weak performances in crucial matches, can also shift probabilities. Any news regarding financial stability or ownership changes within clubs could also be a catalyst. Furthermore, broader footballing events, such as the performance of French clubs in European competitions, might indirectly affect sentiment and trading activity within this market.