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Liberty vs James Madison: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Liberty vs James Madison?

Volume:
$1,273,757

James Madison wins by over 6.5 points

 - Kalshi

James Madison wins by over 6.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 5, 2026

Closed: Sep 5, 3:35 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

James Madison wins by over 6.5 points

View
100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$476,568
N/A
N/A
$335,855
Settled
Yes
kalshi

James Madison wins by over 5.5 points

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$116,249
N/A
N/A
$82,482
Settled
Yes
kalshi

James Madison wins by over 4.5 points

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$18,199
N/A
N/A
$12,533
Settled
Yes
kalshi

James Madison wins by over 3.5 points

View
100%
43%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$16,487
N/A
N/A
$9,805
Settled
Yes
kalshi

James Madison wins by over 2.5 points

View
100%
37%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,962
N/A
N/A
$8,694
Settled
Yes
kalshi

James Madison wins by over 1.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,386
N/A
N/A
$3,741
Settled
Yes
kalshi

James Madison wins by over 7.5 points

View
0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$134,897
N/A
N/A
$91,822
Settled
No
kalshi

James Madison wins by over 14.5 points

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$131,927
N/A
N/A
$84,544
Settled
No
kalshi

James Madison wins by over 13.5 points

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$64,168
N/A
N/A
$44,400
Settled
No
kalshi

James Madison wins by over 9.5 points

View
0%
39%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$64,057
N/A
N/A
$46,588
Settled
No
kalshi

James Madison wins by over 10.5 points

View
0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$57,320
N/A
N/A
$41,849
Settled
No
kalshi

James Madison wins by over 11.5 points

View
0%
34%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$32,820
N/A
N/A
$17,582
Settled
No
kalshi

James Madison wins by over 16.5 points

View
0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$22,761
N/A
N/A
$11,970
Settled
No
kalshi

James Madison wins by over 17.5 points

View
0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20,405
N/A
N/A
$12,002
Settled
No
kalshi

James Madison wins by over 20.5 points

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,037
N/A
N/A
$8,199
Settled
No
kalshi

James Madison wins by over 23.5 points

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,380
N/A
N/A
$8,601
Settled
No
kalshi

James Madison wins by over 24.5 points

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,049
N/A
N/A
$9,546
Settled
No
kalshi

James Madison wins by over 21.5 points

View
0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,887
N/A
N/A
$8,945
Settled
No
kalshi

Liberty wins by over 10.5 points

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,832
N/A
N/A
$9,186
Settled
No
kalshi

Liberty wins by over 14.5 points

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,285
N/A
N/A
$8,198
Settled
No
kalshi

James Madison wins by over 27.5 points

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,384
N/A
N/A
$7,284
Settled
No
kalshi

Liberty wins by over 1.5 points

View
0%
32%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,145
N/A
N/A
$5,903
Settled
No
kalshi

Liberty wins by over 3.5 points

View
0%
65%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,033
N/A
N/A
$5,023
Settled
No
kalshi

Liberty wins by over 5.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,168
N/A
N/A
$4,136
Settled
No
kalshi

Liberty wins by over 2.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,923
N/A
N/A
$3,811
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 31

Intro

This market predicts whether James Madison will win against Liberty by more than 1.5 points in their upcoming college football game. Currently, Kalshi gives an 87.0% probability to James Madison winning by over 1.5 points. Resolution will be based on the official score reported following the Liberty vs James Madison game, as defined by the resolution source. Traders should particularly watch the game itself on September 5, 2026, as the final score at the end of the game will determine the market’s outcome.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the official final point differential of the Liberty vs James Madison college football game scheduled for September 5, 2026. If James Madison wins, markets specifying 'James Madison wins by over X.X points' resolve to Yes if the victory margin exceeds the stated threshold; otherwise, they resolve to No. Conversely, if Liberty wins, markets specifying 'Liberty wins by over X.X points' resolve to Yes if Liberty's winning margin exceeds the threshold; otherwise, they resolve to No. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome thresholds.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Liberty vs James Madison spread market tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $1,056,832. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the point spread between the two teams, offering a live view of market sentiment and activity as the game approaches.

Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a blend of sharp and public money, sometimes diverging from traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks incorporate professional insights and adjusted margins, prediction markets capture crowd-sourced expectations without a built-in house edge. Traders should compare both to spot potential value shifts, especially as game-day narratives or injury reports emerge.

This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread recorded at the end of the game determines the result, and the market settles based on that official figure.

Injuries to key players, weather conditions affecting gameplay, and shifting coaching strategies could all move this market. Media narratives and betting trends may also influence trader sentiment, causing fluctuations in the spread’s implied probability as the game nears. Any last-minute roster changes or venue updates are additional catalysts to watch.