TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 24, 11:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Liberty will win against Coastal Carolina by more than 2.5 points in their upcoming college football game. Currently, Kalshi gives an 88.0% probability to Liberty winning by over 2.5 points. The market will resolve based on the final score of the Liberty vs Coastal Carolina game, as determined by the resolution source. Participants should closely watch the outcome of the game itself, with resolution expected around September 25, 2026, to see if Liberty achieves the necessary margin of victory.
All markets resolve based on the official final score of the Liberty vs Coastal Carolina college football game scheduled for September 24, 2026. For markets specifying Coastal Carolina winning by a certain margin, resolution occurs if Coastal Carolina’s victory exceeds the stated point differential; conversely, markets for Liberty winning resolve if Liberty’s victory margin surpasses the specified threshold. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point differential conditions outlined in individual markets.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market is driven by the collective predictions of individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or risk assessments. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, but they represent distinct viewpoints on the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Liberty vs Coastal Carolina game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy contracts predicting a specific spread, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the game approaches. The current top market on Kalshi is for Coastal Carolina wins by over 2.5 points.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the Liberty vs Coastal Carolina game, as officially recorded by sports data providers, will determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on the final score difference, adjusted for the spread. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment. It’s important to monitor official sources for the final game results to understand the resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game takes place. News regarding injuries to key players on either the Liberty or Coastal Carolina teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to affect the game's conditions, could also shift expectations. Public sentiment, as reflected in media coverage and social media discussions, can also contribute to price movements. Finally, any late-breaking news related to team strategy or coaching decisions could cause traders to reassess their predictions and adjust their positions in this market.