TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 10, 7:37 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Libertad Loja will win their soccer match against CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador. The aggregated consensus probability for Libertad Loja to win stands at 100.0%, combining data from Kalshi and Polymarket. Resolution is based on official statistics from the governing body or event organizers. Watch for the match result on August 10, 2026, which will determine the outcome.
This event is for the upcoming LigaPro Primera A game, scheduled for Monday, August 10, 2026 between Libertad Loja and CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador.
The markets resolve based on the result of the Libertad vs Trinidense professional APF Division de Honor soccer match scheduled for August 10, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for the Libertad market occurs if Libertad wins the match in regular time. Similarly, a 'Yes' outcome for the Trinidense market occurs if Trinidense wins the match in regular time. The Tie market resolves to 'Yes' if the match ends level after regular time. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect the resolution of these markets.
On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary because of differences in user participation, liquidity, and market design. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For instance, one platform might attract more local fans, skewing its probabilities, while the other could have a global user base. Additionally, each venue sets its own fee structure and trading rules, which influence how quickly prices adjust to new information and how much they reflect the broader consensus.
Injuries to key players, tactical changes by coaches, or shifting weather conditions could all sway this market as the match approaches. Also, early betting trends on either Polymarket or Kalshi may create momentum that influences broader market sentiment. Any last-minute news — such as lineup announcements or venue updates — can cause rapid probability shifts, so traders often watch official team disclosures and pre-match analysis closely.